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Here's what Elliott wave analysis is all about: You study charts to find non-overlapping 5-wave moves (trend-defining) from overlapping 3-wave ones (corrective, countertrend).
With that in mind, please take a look at this chart of the S&P 500, which our U.S. Intraday Stocks Specialty Service (FreeWeek is on now) posted for subscribers at 9:37 AM today (June 14):
Immediately, you can see that the S&P 500 has been moving sideways in a choppy, overlapping manner. That's the definition of a correction -- i.e., that is NOT the trend. The trend, as the U.S. Intraday Stocks Specialty Service editor Tom Prindaville said in the morning market overview, was higher -- at least in the short-term:
...sideways-to-up over the very near term will be expected. Simply put, overall higher near-term remains the intraday call -- to complete a corrective second wave.
And here's a chart of the S&P 500 at the close of the market that the Service posted at 3:34 PM on the same day:
To make this bullish forecast, the Service editor Tom Prindaville was simply following the Elliott wave model of market progression. The model called for a completion of the developing wave 2 -- in this case, "higher near-term."
Market corrections -- the sideways, choppy moves you see in both charts above -- are notoriously hard to forecast. And not every Elliott wave forecast works out. But you do get a real, practical roadmap of the expected market action.
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This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline S&P 500: Elliott Wave Forecasts, Simplified. EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.
