• 596 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 596 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 598 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 997 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,002 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,004 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,007 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,007 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,008 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,010 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,010 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,014 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,014 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,015 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,018 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,018 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,021 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,022 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,022 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,024 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Does Greenspan Get It?

Summary: An apt description of Maestro Greenspan: "Uncle Al, Wall Street's Pal." I wonder, though -- Does Uncle Al understand how foolish he is now being made to look by so many of the folks to whom he has been so extraordinarily generous?

Greenspan is now a "legacy player," since he will leave the Fed in less than a year. This is because his full 14-year term as a governor, not to be confused with his current four-year term as chairman, expires on 1/31/06. Under current Fed rules, he may not be reappointed to another term as a governor.

So for the time that remains, it becomes more and more about legacy. You can be certain that among several unpleasant things Mr. G. would like not to be remembered for, a meltdown in the Treasury carry trade is high on the list. Which means -- the war of wills is on. This entails trying to get the unwinding done on a gradual, orderly basis (if that is any longer possible), versus something far more traumatic.

It would appear that congressional testimony, admonitions delivered in various speeches, the minutes of the December 14th Federal Open Market Committee meeting, etc. have not succeeded in moving the unwinding process along very much. Which means that increasingly, we are dealing with an "in your face, Alan" situation. Or, put in other terms, there is nothing like biting the hand that has fed you so very well -- or, for so very long, too!

There's a way to cut this arrogance down to size rather emphatically. (1) To wit: for the FOMC to raise the Federal Funds Rate not by 25 but by 50 basis points at the FOMC's March 22nd meeting, and (2) to begin immediately to get hints of such a possibility in circulation.

But this is Greenspan and the Greenspan Fed, making the chances of such a bold action quite remote. It simply smacks too much of something a genuine, serious central bank would do.

And thinking such thoughts always brings me to memories of my great Fed hero as well as someone with whom I was privileged to have occasional vocational dealings, William McChesney Martin, Jr.

The following link will take readers to an article I wrote about Mr. Martin in June of 2004. It was entitled, "William McChesney Martin, Jr -- a Real 'Five Termer.'" I believe that after reading it, many people will have a response something like, "where are people of this quality and accomplishment when we need them so very, very badly?" http://www.gillespieresearch.com/cgi-bin/s/article/id=195

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment