• 497 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 497 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 499 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 899 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 904 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 906 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 909 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 909 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 910 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 912 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 912 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 916 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 916 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 917 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 919 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 920 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 923 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 924 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 924 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 926 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

Ian Campbell

Ian Campbell

Through his www.BusinessTransitionSimplified.com website and his Business Transition & Valuation Review newsletter Ian R. Campbell shares his perspectives on business transition, business valuation and world…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Is Depression Inevitable?

Why read: Because as abhorrent as the idea is, some people, me included, believe United States, many Eurozone countries, and as a result of those countries, the world economy is going to need to push the 'reset button' at some point - and, depression may be the catalyst to that reset.

Commentary: An ever-increasing individual, company, or country debt eventually has to lead to financial failure - or so one would believe. That said, a recent article can be summarized as saying:

  • to date, quantitative easing has not lead to meaningful economic recovery;

  • more quantitative easing (whether in the Eurozone, the United Kingdom, or the United States if (or likely better said 'when') it comes seems highly unlikely to do other than push the end-game out a little further; and,

  • in the end, absent 'rabbits and hats' that most likely leads to one of two country-specific consequences:

    • a declared 'default'; or,

    • an undeclared but 'de facto default' pursuant to an 'inflation strategy'.

In essence, in the first instance the result most likely is deflation that leads to depression, while the in the second instance the result most likely is high levels of inflation that eventually lead to depression.

If either scenario ensues, the endgame will be painful if either scenario unfolds in the next months and years.

You might want to consider reading the referenced article. I think it is a reasonably balanced and not an 'extremist one'. Certainly it is does not discuss or recommend a 'fortress mentality and strategy' that would have one now storing massive amounts of foodstuffs, water, and ammunition.

Topical Reference: The Deflation-Inflation Alternate Routes to Depression, Monty Pelerin's World, July 26, 2012 - reading time 4 minutes, accompanying 10 minute video titled 'The Economic Collapse for Dummies'.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment