EUR/USD posted a lower low yesterday, confirming the recent Euro weakness. A further corrective phase is favoured and should lead to a test of the support at 1.2755 (11/09/2012 low, see also 38.2% retracement from previous rise) in the short-term. Short-term resistance is at 1.3048 (21/09/2012 high).

The lack of a base formation or sell-off suggests that the recent Euro strength is a rebound within an underlying downtrend. The current weakness near the 38.2% retracement of the decline from May 2011 to July 2012 suggests limited short-term upside potential and the start of a new down phase.

Daily Technical Report