EUR/USD is moving below its support at 1.2844, which calls for further weakness towards the next key support at 1.2662 (13/11/2012 low). An hourly resistance is at 1.2890 (26/03/2013 high). Another resistance is at 1.3048 (25/03/2013 high).
In the longer-term, the succession of lower highs since 1 February and the recent new lows below the key support at 1.2877 (07/12/2012 low, see also 200 day moving average) suggest that the rise from July 2012 has made its top at 1.3711. Monitor the key support at 1.2662 (13/11/2012 low).