EUR/USD is close to the key resistance area defined by 1.3107 (15/03/2013 high, see also 38.2% retracement of the decline from 1.3711) and 1.3162 (28/02/2013 high). However, thus far, the recent weakness looks like a short-term pullback on the broken declining trendline. Another support can be found at 1.2962 (08/04/2013 low).
In the longer-term, the succession of lower highs since 1 February and the recent new lows below the key support at 1.2877 (07/12/2012 low, see also 200 day moving average) suggest that the rise from July 2012 has made its top at 1.3711. Key resistances are at 1.3162 (28/02/2013 high) and 1.3319 (25/02/2013 high). Key supports are at 1.2662 (13/11/2012 low) and 1.2043 (24/07/2012 low).