I began Forecasting many, many years ago. Upon coming out of retirement in 2007 this focus has become a daily routine. I began publishing my Forecasting here in SafeHaven.com in 2011.
Forecasting is quite simple once you do it over and over again for many years. Being consistently profitable begins with Accurate Forecasting and Analytic Procedures, then it requires Well Honed: Fundamental - Valuation, Technical - Analytics and Consensus - Opinion. When you add my Confirmation work, it ends with Profitable Results. (F / C = PR)
You might want to re-read my articles for the Accuracy of all my Forecasts of all of these Companies. The above (F / C = PR) is as Accurate and Profitable - formula as anything you will find in the financial blogs you may be reading. Try me!
My near-term and longer-term Forecast for any of the above Companies or for that matter any Company or ETF on the planet goes through a process the gives a "heads-up" or leading picture of those securities that I call: Candidates for Buying (C4Bs) and Candidates for Shorting (C4Ss). On a daily basis I simple research and do my analytics on a number of securities. It is kind of like going fishing, sometimes you come home empty and sometimes you catch or limit or a Big One! I simple add those that appear to be future "Candidates" - Bullish or Bearish to my two Lists.
Buy / Sell / Hold
In the process of Accurate Forecasting, for me is a one-two-three proposition. The Old - Buy / Sell / Hold - Question is alive and well.
My current and I believe correct answer to the question of Buy / Sell / Hold for any security can be placed in my Report Card format. Google, Inc. is: Definitely -- Hold with an Initial "Warning" in Place...
The Professors - Report Card on: (any Company / ETF on the Planet)
|Company / ETF Symbol||Fundamental - |
|Technical - |
|Consensus Opinion - |
|Report Card - |
Grade & Direction:
(0 - 100 / A - F) -- Ascending
- Status Quo - Descending
|Name and (Symbol)||Opinion -- |
Example: My Valuation for Google is quite negative. The longer-term down-side is over 20%. Earnings growth is consolidating for the next few years.
|Opinion -- |
Example: My Technical Analytics is also quite negative. I would recommend selling on what may be a near-term bounce-rally.
|Opinion -- |
Example: Consensus is always overly optimistic. It is a poor but necessary guide to Investing your money Wisely.
70 / C --- Descending.
My weighted Fundamental, Technical and Consensus Opinion ratings range from Excellent to Very Poor. Grades below 90 / A are not current (never are) candidates for buying. Grades above 60 / F are not current (never are) candidates for short selling. Information and data are ever changing, so be alert. Every companies "Grade" can from a neutral grade (60 to 90 / D to B) to a buy (greater than 90) or short sale (less than 60) in a very short time.
The twenty-year chart is offered to give you a perspective. "Perspective" is yet another tool for making money that is seldom employed.
My article here in SafeHaven.com on "My Rotation Model" supports the above notes. (click here).
Here is My Long-Standing Offer
If you Want support for this opinion? First read as much of my work as possible here in SafeHaven.com, then, let's get personally acquainted.
My Methodology works (is profitable) for any Security on the Planet. Try Me Privately!
I'm willing to prove it privately if you will do just two things:
* Tell me a bit about yourself and your financial needs, goals and objectives.
* Tell me the approximate size of your portfolio.
When and if your are comfortable please send me an Email. After a brief exchange of sharing our thoughts, I will privately advise you when I believe the peak for Google, Inc. occurs.
Under a special arrangement, I will also privately advise you on up to 5 Companies you may own or be interested in.
You can Email me at: firstname.lastname@example.org
Over the years I have been very forthright in making clear that my "stuff" is not free and that I am seeking new qualified / serious Clients.
I hope you will want to get better acquainted.