• 915 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 915 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 917 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,317 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,322 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,324 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,327 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,327 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,328 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,330 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,330 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,334 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,334 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,335 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,337 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,338 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,341 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,342 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,342 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,344 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

SPX: Follow Up of the Short Term EWP

TECHNICALS ARE GETTING EXTENDED

I maintain the two potential counts for the advance from the November lows:

  • Option 1: Triple Zig Zag. If this is the case we need an 11 legged structure therefore there is a pending wave (B) pullback followed by the last wave (Z) up.

SPX Daily Triple Zig Zag Chart
Larger Image

  • Option 2: Double Zig Zag: If this is the case we are in the last wave (Y), but due to its corrective look it should unfold an Ending Diagonal.

SPX Daily Double Zig Zag Chart
Larger Image

Therefore regardless which count is correct the next pullback will be bought.

The short-term pattern (Up leg from the April 18 low) is not clear and there is no indication that it is over, but we have warnings that a multi-day pullback is due:

  • Extreme bullish sentiment in the option camp (Equity Put/Call ratio very low).

CBOE Options Equity Put/Call Ratio Chart

  • Daily Stochastic is overbought

SPX Momentum Chart
Larger Image

  • Negative divergences of breadth indicators are becoming visible

NYSE New High/Low Ratio Chart

Regarding the EW count of the current up leg (From the April 18 low) without much confidence on a specific labelling I am looking at two options:

  • Red count: Zig Zag ===> Price is in the final wave (5) of (C)

  • Blue count: Double Zig Zag ===> Price is extending the wave (A) of the second Zig Zag

SPX 30-Minute Chart
Larger Image

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment