• 553 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 553 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 555 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 955 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 960 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 962 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 965 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 965 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 966 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 968 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 968 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 972 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 972 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 973 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 975 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 976 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 979 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 980 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 980 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 982 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Ian Campbell

Ian Campbell

Through his www.BusinessTransitionSimplified.com website and his Business Transition & Valuation Review newsletter Ian R. Campbell shares his perspectives on business transition, business valuation and world…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

United States: Mr. Bernanke Once Again

This morning at 8:30 a.m. ET Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke released testimony given to a Congressional Committee at 10 a.m. ET this morning. As I read the testimony (and I suggest you visit Testimony, July 17, 2013 and form your own conclusions) Mr. Bernanke has done nothing to dispel my now months-long view that the Federal Reserve has no 'wiggle room' and really has no idea how to do other than 'ride out the current economic storm' by staying on its no-interest, quantitative easing course while hoping that the U.S. economy does not get hit by one or more 'rogue waves'.

Interestingly, Mr. Bernanke did not revisit the concern he expressed on May 22 when he said he was concerned about:

  • the risk (which Mr. Bernanke described as a "cost") he specifically said is "one that we take very seriously"; that
  • if very low interest rates persist for "too long" (which he didn't define) that "could undermine financial stability"; where
  • "for example, investors or portfolio managers dissatisfied with low returns may 'reach for yield' by taking on more credit risk, duration risk, or leverage".

See my May 23 commentary Bernanke: Yesterday's congressional address.

As I see things:

  • the 'tools' that Mr. Bernanke stated today to be available to the Fed are chipped, rusty, and so well used that it is no longer possible to sharpen them;
  • in the aftermath of the U.S. equity markets response to his May 22 congressional address, it has occurred to Mr. Bernanke it is better for him to 'paint the best picture he can', and that he ought to stay away from saying or implying anything the U.S. financial markets might not like;
  • I continue to think his continued reference (again this morning) to 'easing of financial stresses in Europe' doesn't look good on him. I can't imagine he goes to bed every night with a satisfied smile on his face thinking that economic conditions in Europe have improved since last fall; and,
  • Mr. Bernanke seems from his words to think the United States is more of an economic island in a globalized world than I think it is.

Both the Dow and S&P 500 are up marginally at 2:00 p.m. ET today.

Please visit our Economic Straight Talk website and complete the poll question 'Are the Financial Markets Disconnected from the Macro-economy' found in the website's right navigation column.

For an alternate (and less detailed) view read Federal Reserve's Ben Bernanke aims to reassure markets.

Testimony, July 17, 2013 - reading time 5 minutes (Federal Reserve). Federal Reserve's Ben Bernanke aims to reassure markets - reading time 2 minutes (BBC News).

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment