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10 Year Yields and Gold

We continue to keep a close eye on the 2004 interest rate comparative, which describes the last time the Fed transitioned the markets from peak easing initiatives introduced during the throes of the financial crises in 2000 and 2001, to a less accommodative monetary policy regime.

Should the comparative hold prescience today, long term interest rates are cresting for the year and are about to roll-over and retrace a majority of the explosive move that began this spring when the Fed initially floated the idea of a taper.

10-Year Yield 2004 versus 2013 Chart
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While we recognize that the causal and kinetic backdrop that drives certain asset relationships is a moving target to appraise, a declining rate environment would likely provide a more prevailing tailwind to the precious metals sector going forward.

10-Year Yield versus Gold 2004 and 2013 Chart
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Gold Daily Chart 2004 versus 2013
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* All stock chart data originally sourced and courtesy of www.stockcharts.com
* Subsequent overlays and renderings completed by Market Anthropology

 

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