• 847 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 848 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 849 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,249 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,254 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,256 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,259 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,259 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,260 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,262 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,262 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,266 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,266 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,267 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,269 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,270 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,273 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,274 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,274 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,276 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Higher Rates, Higher Credit Growth: Sober Look

I wrote recently about money velocity and reminded readers that theory says higher interest rates tend to increase money velocity because it decreases the demand for real cash balances. This was around the discussion of whether the enormous demand for Verizon bonds could be anecdotal evidence that velocity is increasing.

Yesterday the blog Sober Look - which is one of my favorites because it gives intelligent looks at many different markets - ran an article entitled "Could rising rates fuel credit growth in the US?" in which they in turn cite Deutsche Bank research. It's a very quick article and worth a read, because it sheds some light on one of the mechanisms by which credit growth may increase with higher rates. Ordinarily, higher rates inhibit money growth at the same time that they increase velocity, partly because the yield curve flattens. But in this case, higher rates may increase both credit growth and money velocity - at least when rates initially rise - since the market is moving ahead of the Fed and steepening the yield curve in a selloff.

It's just another puzzle piece to rotate in your mind, to try and see how it all fits together!

 


You can follow me @inflation_guy!

Enduring Investments is a registered investment adviser that specializes in solving inflation-related problems. Fill out the contact form at http://www.EnduringInvestments.com/contact and we will send you our latest Quarterly Inflation Outlook. And if you make sure to put your physical mailing address in the "comment" section of the contact form, we will also send you a copy of Michael Ashton's book "Maestro, My Ass!"

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment