• 789 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 789 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 791 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,191 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,196 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,198 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,201 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,201 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,202 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,204 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,204 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,208 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,208 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,209 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,211 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,212 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,215 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,216 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,216 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,218 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Forever 21 filed for Chapter…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

GMO 7-Year Real Return Forecast: US Equities Negative For 7 Years

Here is a chart from GMO Asset Forecasts that expresses how I feel as well.


7-Year Global Real Return Equity Forecasts

7-Year Global Real Return Equity Forecasts
Larger Image

Value and growth within large and small stocks, and REITs, as of March 31, 2014

Estimated returns are negative for US large caps, US small caps, and REITs for every period shorter than seven years.

If accurate (and I believe it is), what will that do to pension plans? For further discussion, please see LA Commission Studies Pension Crisis, Recommends New Commission; Bankruptcy Inevitable.

For a followup, also see Reader Question on the Inevitable Los Angeles Bankruptcy; What About Chicago?

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment