• 7 days Stocks Tumble After Moderna Chief Warns Existing Vaccines Could Be Less Effectiv
  • 8 days The EU Is Pushing Two Massive Digital Laws To Tame Big Tech
  • 11 days U.S.-China Trade War Has Under Biden
  • 13 days Visa, Mastercard Slump Amid Covid Worries, Regulatory Outlook
  • 14 days 3 Biotech Stocks Wall Street Loves This Quarter
  • 18 days Fintech Goes “Green”, Joining $30T ESG Boom
  • 19 days U.S. Cargo Theft Spikes Amid Huge Supply Chain Snarl Ups
  • 20 days Buybacks Are Back, But New Taxes Could Dull the Party
  • 22 days Don’t Be Fooled By Musk’s Twitter Performance
  • 27 days 3 Healthcare Sector Stocks to Watch Right Now
  • 28 days More Trouble Ahead for Supply Chain as Hackers Descend
  • 29 days Saudi Arabia To Invest $64 Billion Into Becoming A New Global Cinema Hub
  • 32 days The Cryptic Squid Strikes, Netting Scammers Nearly $4M
  • 32 days October Jobs Impress but Inflation Threatens Recovery
  • 34 days Another Round of ‘Meme’ Stocks Coming Our Way?
  • 34 days 2021’s Black Friday Bummer
  • 36 days Buy-Now-Pay-Later Is A Huge Threat to Credit Cards
  • 39 days Microsoft Passes Apple As World’s Most Valuable Company Amid Stellar Earnings
  • 40 days 3 IPOs from Big to Small Coming Our Way
  • 41 days Robinhood Investors Balk at ‘Meme’ Growth
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Time and Cycles Crude Oil Review and Forecast

Crude Oil has been in Free fall the last couple of months. It became bearish when it finally broke below its 2 year Triangle back in September-October 2014.

Monthly Oil Chart
Larger Image

10/06/14 Crude Oil Forecast: "The Monthly Crude Oil closed lower last week at 89.74, below long term Triangle Trendline support at 92, which is bearish. The Triangle has formed since the 5/2/11 Highs, just over 2 years now."

11/17/14 Crude Oil Forecast: "The Monthly Crude Oil again closed lower last week at 75.82, which remains bearish. Triangle target is 51.67."

Monthly Oil Chart 2
Larger Image

Actual: Since we broke the 2 year Triangle back in September 2014, we saw a sharp multi-month decline finally reaching our 51.67 Triangle Target (from 11/17) on Monday Jan 5 2015.

What's next: Support is at 49.86, the 78.6% retrace, but Major support is at the long term 12/98L-11/01L-12/08L Up trendline at the 46-47 area. There is a 50 Month Cycle due June 2015, bias is this will be a Low and the Apex of the 2 year Triangle due in Feb 2016, which should be a major CIT.

In the Stockmarket, the 12/26-29 double Highs were confirmed in with 12/31 decline and projected lower on Fri-Mon 1/02-05, we will review the stock market outlook in the next Update.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment