• 287 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 287 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 289 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 689 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 694 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 696 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 699 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 699 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 700 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 702 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 702 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 706 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 706 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 707 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 709 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 710 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 713 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 714 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 714 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 716 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Trade In Counterfeit Goods Hits Half A Trillion Dollars

Trade In Counterfeit Goods Hits Half A Trillion Dollars

The counterfeit market has breached…

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

Billionaires Are Pushing Art To New Limits

Billionaires Are Pushing Art To New Limits

Welcome to Art Basel: The…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Lindsay's Preliminary Low Sequence

On August 23, 1972, the late technician George Lindsay made a presentation to the Society for the Investigation of Recurring Events (S.I.R.E.) in New York City. In that presentation he explained his preliminary low sequence.

Rather than the terms bull and bear markets (which can be of almost any duration) Lindsay created a concept called basic advances and basic declines. These basic movements are timed using his standard time spans which he found that, since 1798, all bull and bear markets fit into. When a basic decline terminates prior to the final low of a bear market that higher low was called a preliminary low (point 1).

Lindsay' principle of continuity directs us to count the next basic advance from that low rather than the ultimate low. Lindsay found anytime a basic advance is counted from a preliminary low the market action resembles Figure 1 below. The most important and interesting idiosyncrasy of this period is that the period just before and after point 5 has always been marked by slow and halting movement (see George Lindsay and the Art of Technical Analysis, FT Press, 2011).

Preliminary Basic Low

With the basic decline from the 2007 bull market top having ended in November 2008 the next basic advance is counted from that preliminary low and the time since then resembles Lindsay's template above. The pattern warns of a bull market top in the near future (to be continued next week).


Larger Image

 


Take a "sneak-peek" (trial subscription) at Seattle Technical Advisors.com

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment