• 11 hours Homeowners Experiment With Risky New Investment Trend
  • 14 hours U.S. Tech Stocks Look Increasingly Vulnerable
  • 17 hours De Beers To Expand World’s Most Profitable Diamond Mine
  • 19 hours Ford CEO Gets Raise After Massive Layoff Round
  • 1 day Germany’s Flirtation With Recession Could Cripple The Global Economy
  • 2 days Where To Look As Gold Miners Inch Higher
  • 2 days Google Faces Billions In Fines From European Regulators
  • 3 days The Energy Industry Has A Millennial Problem
  • 3 days Russian Banks Scramble For Sanction Loopholes
  • 4 days Gold ETFs Take A Hit After Four-Month Run
  • 4 days European Union Takes Aim At Ten New Tax Havens
  • 5 days Goldman Defends Trillion-Dollar Corporate Buyback Spree
  • 5 days $600 Billion At Risk As Boeing Fallout Continues
  • 5 days Venezuela Has Yet Another Crisis Developing
  • 5 days Wells Fargo Accused Of “Ongoing Lawlessness”
  • 6 days Hollywood Agency Returns $400M Investment To Saudi Wealth Fund
  • 6 days Why Twitter's CEO Is Backing A New Bitcoin Boom
  • 6 days U.S. Treasury To Employ “Extraordinary Measures” To Fend Off Default
  • 6 days Lobster, Golf Carts And Fidget Spinners: What’s In The Federal Budget?
  • 7 days Italy Launches New Welfare Experiment
Lending: The Good, Bad, And Ugly

Lending: The Good, Bad, And Ugly

Aristotle said, “The most hated…

The Chatroom Cartel Running Global Bond Markets

The Chatroom Cartel Running Global Bond Markets

Eight major banks have been…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Market Report: Which Way Now?

I have been tracking the idea of a possible ending diagonal since Jan 2015 we turned bullish at the Feb 2015 lows, with most of the world looking for the dreaded 3rd of 3rd and a crash, we at wavepatterntraders stood firm in our analysis and was looking for new all time highs.


SPX

SPX Chart 1
Larger Image

As the squeeze pushed higher, slowly we saw the bears capitulate and the bulls come out and start dancing again. Once we saw the new all time high it was back to being bearish for us again, so as we faded the bearish crowd at the Feb 2015 lows, we again faded the bullish crowd at the Feb 2015 highs.

SPX Chart 2
Larger Image

We have been bearish from the Feb 2015 highs, although I am now questioning the decline, as the move really appears to be corrective move and reminds me of the same sort of decline we saw into the Feb 2015 lows. If it's actually part of a move that is going to accelerate lower, it would need to see a strong break under 2030-40SPX, failure to see that would suggest the current decline could be a possible 4th wave of an alternative ending diagonal.

SPX Chart 3
Larger Image


Alternative view

Although this time we now have a possible setup that could see a strong decline lower should the support area at 2030-40SPX give out. If the decline proves to be corrective and buyers support the market around 2030-40SPX then I favor the bulls could take the market back up and squeeze the bears one more time to make a new all time high. The area around 2030-2040SPX is a big decision maker for both ideas, as we still don't have a clear cut trend we are going to take both ideas into next week and let the market help us decide its path.

SPX Alternate Chart
Larger Image


USDJPY

One clue may still come from the USDJPY pair, as most traders know the US markets and this pair have a very high correlation, if this pair still has a date with a new yearly high it could be a clue to suggest the SPX sees a new yearly high as well. The bulls on both the SPX and USDJPY need to step up soon and stop this current decline. A strong break above 119.85 would help the bullish case.

USDJPY Chart
Larger Image

USDJPY versus SPX Chart
Larger Image


Déjà vu NDX

The NDX maybe tracking a similar fractal to the Feb 2015 lows, if this fractal is going play out and we do see a new yearly high, it then needs to see buyers around at the support band, failure to find buyers could be a very ominous sign and potentially suggest a peak is now in place and the last swing high ended an ending diagonal. Next week should prove to be an exciting week; sooner or later we are going to get a resolution to the current trend.

NASDAQ Chart 1
Larger Image

Decision time is upon us.

NASDAQ Chart 2
Larger Image

Interested in following and trading our ideas? Sign up here and make sure you are trading on the right side of the market. For $22.50 a month will get you access to our ideas.

Until next time,

Have a profitable week ahead.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment