"No warning can save people determined to grow suddently rich" - Lord Overstone

  • 52 mins U.S. Money Market Funds Post Highest Outflows Since 2011
  • 2 hours Hedge Funds Turn Bearish On The Australian Dollar
  • 3 hours Tech Unicorns Are Taking Over European Stock Markets
  • 4 hours Trump Orders “Space Force” With Zero Support
  • 6 hours How Long Will The Gold Rout Last?
  • 8 hours The Wild Card In The New Eurozone Budget Agreement
  • 24 hours Why Investors Must Look At Small-Cap Stocks
  • 1 day Banking Major Pays $42M For Misleading Customers
  • 1 day Rookie Daytrader Accidentally Makes $10 Million Profit
  • 1 day Flying Cars Are No Longer Science Fiction
  • 1 day The Internet Fights Back As EU's Controversial Copyright Bill Passes
  • 1 day Is Gold Preparing For A Reversal?
  • 1 day Tech Giants Under Fire For Facial Recognition
  • 2 days 4 Reasons Why Gold Investors Should Keep A Cool Head
  • 2 days Hackers Lift $30 Million In Crypto From South Korean Exchange
  • 2 days Tax Reform Could Push U.S. Profits Abroad
  • 2 days Pot Stocks Soar As Canada Legalizes Cannabis
  • 2 days How Chinese Investors Could Send The Tech Boom Into Overdrive
  • 2 days U.S. Market Growth Weighs On The Global Economy
  • 2 days The Trials And Tribulations Of A $4 Billion Blockchain
Stock Markets Open Lower On Renewed Trade War Fears

Stock Markets Open Lower On Renewed Trade War Fears

Stock markets opened lower on…

U.S. Market Growth Weighs On The Global Economy

U.S. Market Growth Weighs On The Global Economy

As the United States continues…

Ed Carlson

Ed Carlson

Ed Carlson, author of George Lindsay and the Art of Technical Analysis, and his new book, George Lindsay's An Aid to Timing is an independent…

More Info

Lindsay: Forecasting the End of the Bull Market - Part 1

The first step in forecasting an important high is accomplished using Lindsay's 15yr interval. It isolates an eleven month period in which the high is found. Lindsay wrote that the interval (15yr-15yr, 11m) can be counted from any "important" low leaving the identification of the low somewhat ambiguous.

In my own attempt to derive a more structured approach to identifying "important" lows I found that most successful intervals have their origins at either a labeled point on Lindsay's long cycle (points A, C, E, G, I, and K)or the low of a Separating Decline in a Three Peaks/Domed House pattern. However, most does not mean always and that is the situation we find ourselves in presently.

The final low before the bull market top in 2000 was in Oct 1999. It counts (15yr-15yr, 11m) to a high in the period Oct 2014-Sept 2015.

The next 15y interval is counted from the low in 2002. It forecasts a high in the period from Oct 2017-Sept 2018 . Lindsay did write that the period between points D and A is roughly 12yrs, A to E is 7yrs, and A to J is 15yrs. A high in 2018 matches expectations for point J to be 15yrs beyond point A (10/10/02). Point J need not be higher than point H.

Lindsay's long cycle
Larger Image

Long Cycles since 1798

 


Get your copy of the May Lindsay Report at SeattleTA.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment