"No warning can save people determined to grow suddently rich" - Lord Overstone

  • 9 hours Vladimir Putin’s Mysterious Fortune
  • 10 hours Cryptos Resist Social Media Crackdown
  • 11 hours The Death Of Dodd-Frank
  • 12 hours Bitcoin Bounces Back Ahead Of G20 Meeting
  • 13 hours Trump's Trade War Nears Boiling Point
  • 14 hours Will April Be A Turning Point For Precious Metals?
  • 16 hours Economic Pressures Weigh On Banks And Borrowers
  • 17 hours U.S. Political Uncertainty Keeps Stock Markets On Edge
  • 1 day Gold: The Religion Of Currency
  • 3 days Economists Polarized On Trump’s Tariff Plan
  • 3 days Why Are Investors Overlooking Gold Stocks?
  • 3 days The App That Democratized Trading Is Now Worth $5B
  • 3 days Super-Cycles: Why Gold Is Set For A Breakout
  • 3 days U.S. Sanctions Russia For Election Meddling And Cyberattacks
  • 4 days Snap Shares Tank Over ‘Slap Rihanna’ Campaign
  • 4 days How Low Can Bitcoin Go?
  • 4 days Amazon’s Japan HQ Raided In Anti-Monopoly Push
  • 4 days Is Barrick Gold Close To Finding A Bottom?
  • 4 days Morgan Stanley’s Top 10 Short-Term Stock Picks
  • 4 days China: The Land Of The Ultra-Rich
Alibaba Soars On Reports Of China Listing

Alibaba Soars On Reports Of China Listing

Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba saw…

Economists Polarized On Trump’s Tariff Plan

Economists Polarized On Trump’s Tariff Plan

Economists are polarized on Trump’s…

Ed Carlson

Ed Carlson

Ed Carlson, author of George Lindsay and the Art of Technical Analysis, and his new book, George Lindsay's An Aid to Timing is an independent…

More Info

Lindsay: Forecasting the End of the Bull Market - Part 1

The first step in forecasting an important high is accomplished using Lindsay's 15yr interval. It isolates an eleven month period in which the high is found. Lindsay wrote that the interval (15yr-15yr, 11m) can be counted from any "important" low leaving the identification of the low somewhat ambiguous.

In my own attempt to derive a more structured approach to identifying "important" lows I found that most successful intervals have their origins at either a labeled point on Lindsay's long cycle (points A, C, E, G, I, and K)or the low of a Separating Decline in a Three Peaks/Domed House pattern. However, most does not mean always and that is the situation we find ourselves in presently.

The final low before the bull market top in 2000 was in Oct 1999. It counts (15yr-15yr, 11m) to a high in the period Oct 2014-Sept 2015.

The next 15y interval is counted from the low in 2002. It forecasts a high in the period from Oct 2017-Sept 2018 . Lindsay did write that the period between points D and A is roughly 12yrs, A to E is 7yrs, and A to J is 15yrs. A high in 2018 matches expectations for point J to be 15yrs beyond point A (10/10/02). Point J need not be higher than point H.

Lindsay's long cycle
Larger Image

Long Cycles since 1798


Get your copy of the May Lindsay Report at SeattleTA.


Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment

Sign Up For The Safehaven Newsletter