• 854 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 855 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 856 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,256 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,261 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,263 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,266 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,266 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,267 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,269 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,269 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,273 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,273 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,274 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,276 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,277 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,280 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,281 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,281 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,283 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

An economic slowdown in many…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Lindsay Forecast for the End of the Bull Market - Part II

Similar to forecasting highs, the first step in forecasting a low is in applying Lindsay's 12y interval. The 12y interval stretches 12y, 2m-12y, 8m from an important high.

The next 12y interval is counted from the high in 2004 and points to a low in Apr-Oct 2016.

A decline which begins in the first half of this year will have time to fit Lindsay's rule of thumb which calls for 1yr down followed by 2yrs up; a low in 2016 followed by a high at point J in 2018.


Larger Image

Point J can be higher or lower than point H. If the pattern of alternating long cycles continues (bear, bull, bear bull) the 2002 cycle should see a lower point J.

The end of the long cycle (point A/M) should be roughly 12 years from point D. It forecasts a low in late 2019 or early 2020.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment