• 553 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 553 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 555 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 954 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 959 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 961 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 964 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 964 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 965 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 967 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 967 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 971 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 971 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 972 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 975 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 975 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 978 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 979 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 979 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 981 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Lindsay Forecast for the End of the Bull Market - Part II

Similar to forecasting highs, the first step in forecasting a low is in applying Lindsay's 12y interval. The 12y interval stretches 12y, 2m-12y, 8m from an important high.

The next 12y interval is counted from the high in 2004 and points to a low in Apr-Oct 2016.

A decline which begins in the first half of this year will have time to fit Lindsay's rule of thumb which calls for 1yr down followed by 2yrs up; a low in 2016 followed by a high at point J in 2018.


Larger Image

Point J can be higher or lower than point H. If the pattern of alternating long cycles continues (bear, bull, bear bull) the 2002 cycle should see a lower point J.

The end of the long cycle (point A/M) should be roughly 12 years from point D. It forecasts a low in late 2019 or early 2020.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment