• 1,043 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 1,044 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 1,045 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,445 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,450 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,452 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,455 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,455 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,456 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,458 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,458 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,462 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,462 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,463 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,465 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,466 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,469 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,470 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,470 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,472 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Strong U.S. Dollar Weighs On Blue Chip Earnings

Strong U.S. Dollar Weighs On Blue Chip Earnings

Earnings season is well underway,…

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Why The PM Sector is Now a Contrarian's Dream ...

Originally published August 9th, 2015.

In this update we are only going to look at one chart, because I don't want to dilute its impact by including anything else. There are many other charts supportive of a positive outlook for the Precious Metals sector going forward, which we will look at separately.

The chart we are now going to look at is the long-term ratio chart for the large cap S&P500 index divided by the XAU index for large cap gold and silver stocks. So that we can achieve a big picture overall perspective, our chart goes right back to the mid 80's.

SPX:XAU Daily 1980-2015 Chart

This astounding chart largely speaks for itself. The main point it makes clear of course is the extraordinary and extreme undervaluation of Precious Metals stocks relative to the broad stockmarket. This ratio is an amazing 9 times higher than it was at its 2011 lows! Another point revealed by this chart is that PM stocks are now much better value relative to the broad market than they were even at the PM sector low late in 2000, before the great PM sector bullmarket of the 2000's began.

Finally, the MACD indicator at the top of this chart has risen to a wild unprecedented extreme reading, which means one of two things is going to happen - either the broad market is going to drop hard soon, which we are in fact expecting, or the Precious Metals sector is going to rally, or both at the same time. Either way you are much better off in Precious Metals stocks than in the broad market.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment