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EUR/USD - Breaking the 200-Day Moving Average

EUR/USD has broken the hourly resistance at 1.1436 (18/06/2015). Over the last month, the pair is setting higher highs. There is a short-term upside momentum. Resistance lies at 1.1534 (02/02/2015 high). Support can be found at 1.0809 (20/07/2015 low).

In the longer term, the symmetrical triangle from 2010-2014 favors further weakness towards parity. As a result, we view the recent sideways moves as a pause in an underlying declining trend. Key supports can be found at 1.0504 (21/03/2003 low) and 1.0000 (psychological support). Break to the upside would suggest a test of resistance at 1.1534 (03/02/2015 reaction high).

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