• 363 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 364 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 365 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 765 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 770 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 772 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 775 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 775 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 776 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 778 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 778 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 782 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 782 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 783 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 785 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 786 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 789 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 790 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 790 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 792 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

An economic slowdown in many…

Billionaires Are Pushing Art To New Limits

Billionaires Are Pushing Art To New Limits

Welcome to Art Basel: The…

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Big Drop in Market Still Looms, GDX Pulling Back

Last time I wrote, I was expecting a large drop in the stock market. Early on, in my blog, I stated that I believed I was wrong and that the BIG drop would not occur until late October/early November. I stated that the 7 week low could occur as early as October 13/14. I also stated that there was a TLC low due in that time frame. Also, there was the fact that Jupiter was making a trine aspect to Pluto by October 15 and that was potentially bullish, at least in the short term. Also, I was concerned that GLD and GDX were not confirming the recent move up.

From October 14 to October 16, the SPX rallied from about 1990 to near 2033. I see many money flow and momentum divergences on that move up, and believe we will have a short, sharp drop into October 20th to near SPX 1972. We have a Hanging Man on the SPY, the recently developed 21 TD top from July 20th (series July 20, August 18, September 17), and a Y wave of an XYZ bull flag. In addition, we have a Bradley turn due October 17th, Venus opposing Neptune after the market closed Friday, while Mars conjuncts Jupiter on October 17th. The two days following OPEX October tend to be very bearish, and we also have a three week low due on October 20th.

All this action points to an important topping process on both the GDX and the SPX. I believe the top of this move off of the September 30th/Oct 1 lows is still forthcoming, but we still have the 5/10 week lows looming around November 3; so overall, l I believe THE major top of this counter trend rally is NOT yet in and will not likely occur until around Oct 26/28. Bottom line: a quick scary sell-off into Tuesday where the strong money starts buying this market once again setting us up for an end of month top of significance in both markets. This will likely be tied to the FED meeting of October 28. Ironically, we have Mercury and Mars crossing the same spot Mercury crossed in late August before the August 18-24 collapse, and that is the recent solar eclipse. This follows George Bayer's rule of the relationship between the Sun and Mercury.

My own e-wave/cycle read is suggesting a possible drop to the upper 1700's SPX by November 3 (with a possible SPY below 1760). GDX is coming off of an IMP (I've gone over IMP's before) and is due to go just under Touch Point 1 near $15.08/.12 by Tuesday or Wednesday next week. One more rally is expected in gold and GDX into late October before going back into the bear market mode.

S&P500 Hourly Chart
Larger Image

GDX Hourly Chart
Larger Image

If this pattern and cycle continues in the stock market, we may not see a final low of this bear market move until late December or early January to my long time target of SPX 1700 +/-. This would also guarantee the chop continues.

 


Brad Gudgeon, editor and author of the BluStar Market Timer, is a market veteran of over 30 years. The subscription website is www.blustarmarkettimer.info

We also offer auto-trading for those who don't have the time to trade their own accounts.

To view the details more clearly, you may visit our free chart look at http://charts.blustarmarkettimer.com
This web site is sometimes updated periodically as events unfold.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment