• 5 hours Airlines Could Recover, But Crew Remain Elusive
  • 6 hours Meet The Man Behind The World's Most Exciting Oil Play
  • 1 day Crypto-Mining Immigration Could Be The Start Of A New Trend
  • 3 days Hawkish Fed Sends Gold Prices Crashing
  • 4 days Bezos Is Heading To Space This Sunday
  • 8 days El Salvador’s Surprise Bitcoin Move
  • 11 days Markets Unfazed As Inflation Hits 13-Year High
  • 11 days How the Token Economy is Disrupting Financial Markets
  • 13 days FBI Investigating 100 Types Of Ransomware Attacks
  • 15 days Fed Ends Corporate Credit Emergency Lending Program
  • 17 days AMC Becomes the Latest Winning Meme Stock After GameStop
  • 19 days The Real Reason Your 401k Has Been Lagging
  • 19 days China Lifts Cap On Births, Allows Three Children Per Couple
  • 21 days The Market Is Ripe For Another GameStop Saga
  • 24 days Senate Grills Big Banks Over Pandemic Opportunism
  • 26 days Cannabis Has A Major Cash Problem
  • 26 days Ransomware Netted Criminals $350M In 2020 Alone
  • 27 days Russia Is Taking On Google
  • 28 days Chinese Regulators Deal Another Big Blow To Bitcoin
  • 29 days Ohio Residents Brave Vaccine for Chance To Win $1M
The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

An economic slowdown in many…

Brad Gudgeon

Brad Gudgeon

BluStar Market Timer Investment Philosophy: The stock market is currently in a technical Elliott Wave Bear Market Rally. It has been exhibiting A-B-C type waves…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Fed Set to Spook the Markets Once Again!

The charts below show that the recent rally is just fodder for the beast. Prior to the last FED meeting on September 17, I warned of an impending sell-off due to the FED's statements. The S&P 500 fell from a high of 2020 to a low of 1871 in 8 trading days or about 7.3%! The BIG question this time is "how low?" not IF.

I have two downside targets: SPX 1913/15 and SPX 1828/30. Astro-wise, early this week, we have the "George Bayer Rule" of Mercury crossing the same path the sun did during a prior eclipse. The last time we saw this, the SPX fell 236 point in 4 trading days (late August 2015). We also have Mars joining in this time with Mercury.

The 5/10 week cycle low is due in early November. The last cycle low on September 30 was just the 5 week low. We also have the 7 week low due in gold and the mining shares in early November. GDX is sporting an inverted bearish flat. The commitment of traders shows excessively long gold contracts, that prior in this bear market has proven to be an important top when gold has gone above the 200 day moving average.


Larger Image

SPY Daily Chart
Larger Image

SPY Hourly Chart
Larger Image

GDX Weekly
Larger Image

The next important top should occur around Thanksgiving right before the next nesting of lows: the 5 and 7 week (and tax selling) low of around Dec 8. From early December to late December/early January should be quite bullish, but watch out, there is another low, the 20 week and 40 month Kitchin cycle low due in January 2016. How that forms, (I believe) will have a lot to do with the how far down the early November drop goes.

Meanwhile, Fed-speak this time around could be hinting at a rate increase within the next few months, something the recent rally participants may find less palatable than they had been thinking. Trick or treat!

 


Brad Gudgeon, editor and author of the BluStar Market Timer, is a market veteran of over 30 years. The subscription website is www.blustarmarkettimer.info

We also offer auto-trading for those who don't have the time to trade their own accounts.

To view the details more clearly, you may visit our free chart look at http://charts.blustarmarkettimer.com
This web site is sometimes updated periodically as events unfold.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment