• 2 hours El Salvador’s Surprise Bitcoin Move
  • 3 days Markets Unfazed As Inflation Hits 13-Year High
  • 4 days How the Token Economy is Disrupting Financial Markets
  • 6 days FBI Investigating 100 Types Of Ransomware Attacks
  • 8 days Fed Ends Corporate Credit Emergency Lending Program
  • 10 days AMC Becomes the Latest Winning Meme Stock After GameStop
  • 11 days The Real Reason Your 401k Has Been Lagging
  • 12 days China Lifts Cap On Births, Allows Three Children Per Couple
  • 14 days The Market Is Ripe For Another GameStop Saga
  • 17 days Senate Grills Big Banks Over Pandemic Opportunism
  • 18 days Cannabis Has A Major Cash Problem
  • 19 days Ransomware Netted Criminals $350M In 2020 Alone
  • 20 days Russia Is Taking On Google
  • 21 days Chinese Regulators Deal Another Big Blow To Bitcoin
  • 22 days Ohio Residents Brave Vaccine for Chance To Win $1M
  • 24 days Inflation Is Coming. Are You Prepared?
  • 25 days Travel Might Get Another Supersonic Disruption
  • 26 days The World Is Running Out Of 6 Key Resources
  • 27 days $15/Hour Minimum Wage Might Happen Naturally
  • 29 days Money-Laundering Binance Probe Report Adds To Bitcoin Woes
The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Forever 21 filed for Chapter…

Dan Norcini

Dan Norcini

Dan Norcini is a professional off-the-floor commodities trader bringing more than 25 years experience in the markets to provide a trader's insight and commentary on…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Gold - Weekly Reversal: This is IT!

In watching the short squeeze taking place in the gold market this AM, I am noticing that the push higher is creating a WEEKLY UPSIDE REVERSAL PATTERN on the intermediate term chart.

Weekly Gold Chart
Larger Image

As the Euro recovers off its lows and as the Dollar fades from its best levels, shorts are covering in gold and that is setting off a wave of buy stops as upside technical levels are getting taken out. Hedge funds are short, not in large numbers, but large enough to produce this buying.

It looks like the bulls have managed to dodge a bullet with Mr. Draghi bailing them out yesterday and thus we have a massive amount of repositioning taking place that started yesterday and apparently is continuing this morning.

I want to see how this market closes this afternoon to see whether the buying is going to fade but for now, the gold market is working on a reversal pattern meaning that the low below $1050 might be it for a while longer.

It might very well be a case where now that the market has effectively fully priced in a December rate hike, the emphasis is now going to shift from "WHEN will they hike" to "AT WHAT PACE WILL THESE RATE HIKES FROM THE FED NOW COME?"

In other words, the markets are now in a "SELL THE RUMOR, BUY THE FACT" mode when it comes to gold. This does not mean gold is about to embark on a new bull market. What it does seem to mean for now is that the market is going to stabilize down here. We will have to continue watching the charts as well as the Dollar price action as well as looking at GLD to see if reported holdings actually begin to rise. My thinking is that if we do not see an increase in the holdings, then this rally is going to fade.

It is one thing for shorts to cover; it is another thing for a bull market to take place. Keep a level head and do not get goofy out there. Control your emotions and stay objective and above all, avoid getting snared by all the "THIS IS IT's" that are now going to start coming out of the gold bug camp once again.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment