• 18 hours Why The World's Central Banks Aren't Yet Sold On Renewables
  • 1 day How Much More Cash Can Uber Burn?
  • 2 days Inside The Biggest Counterfeit Gold Scandal In Recent History
  • 2 days EU-U.S. Trade Relations Are Deteriorating
  • 2 days Over 184 Companies Have Bailed On Facebook
  • 3 days BP Sells Petrochemical Business For $5 Billion
  • 3 days U.S. Moves To Secure Domestic Rare Earth Supply
  • 3 days E-Commerce Explodes As Boomers Go Digital
  • 4 days Major U.S. Cities Are Turning To Renewables
  • 4 days Economic Reopening Backfires, COVID Surge Snaps Recovery
  • 5 days How Are Low Car Sales Impacting The Metals Market?
  • 5 days Are Gold Stocks Still Undervalued?
  • 6 days Singapore's $3 Billion Oil Trading Scandal
  • 7 days Luxury Clothing Isn’t A Priority As Americans Grapple With COVID-19
  • 7 days Natural Gas Demand Hits 25-Year Low
  • 8 days Gold Inches Towards $1,800 As Investors Pile Into ETFs
  • 8 days The War On Gold Has Begun
  • 8 days Immigration Attack Will Ruin America’s Tech Dominance
  • 9 days Saudi Arabia Builds $4 Billion Tourism Fund
  • 9 days U.S. Banks Have Seen $2 Trillion In Deposits Since January
How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Forever 21 filed for Chapter…

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

Ed Carlson

Ed Carlson

Ed Carlson, author of George Lindsay and the Art of Technical Analysis, and his new book, George Lindsay's An Aid to Timing is an independent…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

US Dollar: Bull Market

DXY fell 0.72% last week and closed at 98.01 (below the 13-dma) after printing an engulfing bearish candlestick on Friday. 14-day RSI was unable to stay above its 20-dma during the previous week's rally and 3-day RSI remains below 80; bearish. Not surprisingly, DXY looks similar to the pattern in TNX - the interest rate on the ten-year treasury.

The March/April (and now December) highs near 100 are pivotal. Any breakout from there will be very bullish. A break of the Dec low at 97.21 generates an initial price target of 96.65.

The breakout from a triangle on the weekly chart measures a minimum move to 103.00. This should be the fifth and final leg up of the bull market. A strengthening Dollar is deflationary and bearish for equities.

Cycles tell us that the rally should continue into a final high in the first quarter of 2016. DXY is expected to then begin a bear market which will last until the second half of 2017.

US Dollar Index 10-Year Chart
Larger Image

 


Click here to get your copy of the December Lindsay Report.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment