• 312 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 312 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 314 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 714 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 718 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 720 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 723 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 724 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 725 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 726 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 727 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 731 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 731 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 732 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 734 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 734 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 738 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 738 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 739 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 741 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Strong U.S. Dollar Weighs On Blue Chip Earnings

Strong U.S. Dollar Weighs On Blue Chip Earnings

Earnings season is well underway,…

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

An economic slowdown in many…

How Millennials Are Reshaping Real Estate

How Millennials Are Reshaping Real Estate

The real estate market is…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Short Term Bottom at Hand in Stock Market?

Last week, I was looking for a nasty down week in the stock market, but up in GDX, GLD and NUGT into Jan 7th. GDX made a sudden reversal down on Jan 8th and is likely confined within a slight downward trend within an upwardly tilted bull flag until around Jan 21st. The stock market has either already bottomed or likely to do so no later than mid Monday Jan 11th.

Overall, I think we are in the early stages of a bear market that could take the SPX down to near 1000 or slightly lower by October. We are in year 8 of the commodity cycle low (last seen 2008, 2000, 1992, 1984, and 1976).

Astro-wise, the negative aspects of last week are leading us to a more favorable pattern this next week. We have a set of positive trines due between Jan 12-14, with a Bradley, solunar/CC turn due Jan 13-14. Cycle-wise, the 4/8/16 TD low was due mid Friday +/- one TD. Any possible further downside on Monday should be contained to a mid-session or early reversal time frame.

There is overhead resistance around 1985-93 SPX and we could go down to 1910 Monday before reversing. A break of 1910 +/- 3, would suggest a move down to test 1867. We could also rally from the get go Monday. The gold stocks and technical indicators are not suggesting a meltdown like August 24 on Monday, but with Mercury retrograde anything is possible.

S&P500 Daily Chart
Larger Image

Market Vectors Gold Miners Daily Chart
Larger Image

The market is now clearly in a trade up and down, or put your money in the bank mode. Bear market swings can get wild with huge sell-offs as well as huge short covering gains. We seek to capture some of those gains trading the 3X ETF's and have done well doing that over the past year. All of our signals are tracked via Collective 2 and our verified results may be seen at our web site.

 


Brad Gudgeon, editor and author of the BluStar Market Timer, is a market veteran of over 30 years. The subscription website is www.blustarmarkettimer.info
BluStar Market Timer offers auto-trading for those who don't have the time or inclination to trade their own accounts.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment