• 10 hours Jeff Bezos Doubles Down On Space Colonization Ambitions
  • 16 hours Gold Mining Stocks Stuck In Limbo
  • 1 day Executive Order Targets Huawei Over Espionage
  • 2 days Why Now May Be The Best Time Ever To Hold Gold
  • 2 days Fake News Sinks Shares In UK-Based Bank
  • 3 days De Beers To Build $468 Million Diamond Recovery Ship
  • 3 days Moody's: Turkey Faces Possible Credit Downgrade
  • 3 days Tesla's Solar Sales Are Slipping
  • 3 days Auto Industry To Get Temporary Tariff Relief
  • 4 days Welcome To The World’s Biggest Free Trade Area
  • 4 days Central Banks Are Stockpiling Gold At The Fastest Rate In Half A Decade
  • 4 days U.S.-China Impasse Threatens Rare Earth Trade
  • 4 days Wall Street Bears $1 Trillion Brunt Of Trade War
  • 5 days Mobile Sports Betting Isn’t Quite Minting Millionaires Just Yet
  • 5 days The Marijuana Industry’s Shocking Secret
  • 5 days A Generational Shift Is Quietly Unfolding In The Mining Industry
  • 5 days Pentagon To Pay $6 Billion To Help Build Border Wall
  • 6 days Beijing Backlash: Stocks Slammed, Gold Boosted
  • 6 days Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months
  • 6 days Trader Compares Current Market Environment To 2007
Strong U.S. Dollar Weighs On Blue Chip Earnings

Strong U.S. Dollar Weighs On Blue Chip Earnings

Earnings season is well underway,…

How Millennials Are Reshaping Real Estate

How Millennials Are Reshaping Real Estate

The real estate market is…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Eighth Year Returns

As explained in last week's article, my Hybrid Lindsay model is pointing to a high in the Dow today, February 1st. Whether it is today, tomorrow, last Friday, or some other day very close to today, I have every reason to believe equities will begin a decline now that will likely continue for the remainder of the month.

And it is more than just the Lindsay model that has me convinced markets will decline into the first of March. Seasonally, during election years, equities decline for the first two months followed by a rally into April.

For those of you who follow the election cycle you already know that the average of all election years shows a low in June followed by a rally to new highs by the end of the year. But did you know that the average returns during election years in the eighth year of a Presidential term (like this year) show an extraordinarily different outcome? Carve out just these years and we see a market that, from the high in April, falls for the remainder of the year. Quite a surprise ifyou were expecting new highs by the end of the year.

 


Take a one month "sneak-peek" (trial subscription) at Seattle Technical Advisors.com

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment