• 655 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 655 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 657 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,057 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,062 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,064 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,067 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,067 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,068 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,070 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,070 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,074 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,074 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,075 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,077 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,078 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,081 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,082 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,082 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,084 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Billionaires Are Pushing Art To New Limits

Billionaires Are Pushing Art To New Limits

Welcome to Art Basel: The…

Strong U.S. Dollar Weighs On Blue Chip Earnings

Strong U.S. Dollar Weighs On Blue Chip Earnings

Earnings season is well underway,…

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

9/21/16: A Lindsay 'Three Peaks And A Domed House' High?

First I want to thank respected Ed Carlson, a frequent poster here and the leader of the Lindsay Revival. I quote Ed below and benefit from his years of research and careful work deciphering the sometimes opaque Lindsay system. I have no connection to him in any way and he has not authorized or reviewed this scenario.

Ed Carlson's site is here: http://seattletechnicaladvisors.com/

George Lindsay's model, Three Peaks and a Domed House, has a fantastic track record of calling bull market tops for over 100 years--often to the exact date and usually to within three days.

The ability to create such an exact forecast requires the integration of Lindsay's other models. However, the attraction of the 3PDh model is that just by being acquainted with the basic form and a few simple guidelines the user can become alerted to a pending top in a bull market several months in advance.

FIND THE PEAKS

The first step in identifying the formation is labeling the three peaks and the ensuing deep decline Lindsay called the "separating decline." During the separating decline the market must reach a level which is lower than at least one of the reactions following peaks one or two.The sell-off is followed by a period of base-building called, appropriately, the "base."

We're looking for an interval (roughly seven months and ten days [222 days]) from either the bottom of the base or the separating decline to the top of the bull market. Typically, a base is horizontal and we count from the second test of the low in the base.

Using Ed's guidelines, now observe the DJI chart below and note the following:

* three peaks following the 10/15/14 low at 15,855. the third peak is at 18,351 on 5/19/15

* a separating decline into 7/24/15 at 15,370

* a horizontal base from 7/24/15 to 2/11/16

* the required two tests of the low within the base on 1/20/16 and 2/11/16

* the expected "vertical wall" after the second test of the low is exactly what has occurred

Dow Industrials Weekly Chart

This pattern takes us to a very interesting place in time. The ideal Lindsay interval of 222/223 days lands exactly on 9/20/16 and 9/21/16, the first and second day of the critical two-day FOMC meeting in September! This would make a lot of sense as a pivot high. There is not much chance that there will be a hike just a few weeks before the election. Also, September has a recent history of high water marks. Remember 9/19/14?

Also, just after this FOMC meeting anticipation for a December hike will begin. The election will be out of the way and the FOMC will not have to worry about being a scapegoat.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment