USD/JPY is likely in a short-term rebound following bearish break of key support. The pair has exited its short-term downtrend channel indicating further downside risk. Hourly support can be located at 107.68 (07/04/2016 low). Hourly resistance is given at 109.88 (07/04/2016 high) while strong resistance is given at 113.80 (29/03/2016 high). Expected to further weaken.

We favour a long-term bearish bias. Support at 105.23 (15/10/2014 low) is on target. A gradual rise towards the major resistance at 135.15 (01/02/2002 high) seems now less likely. Another key support can be found at 105.23 (15/10/2014 low).

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