• 1 hour Gold Is Beating Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway
  • 4 hours What’s Behind The Silver Sell-Off?
  • 7 hours The Retail Apocalypse Is Accelerating
  • 10 hours The Top Tech Stocks Of The Year
  • 1 day America’s Workforce Elderly Workforce To Double By 2028
  • 1 day Toyota Tests Solar-Powered Prius
  • 2 days Why The Gold Rally Flatlined
  • 2 days The Uranium Sector Can’t Catch A Break
  • 3 days Upcoming Fed Meeting Has Investors On Edge
  • 3 days Global Gold Sector Outlines Responsible Mining Principles
  • 4 days China’s Giant Vampire Fund Loses $120B
  • 4 days McDonalds To Roll Out Robot Drive-Thru Clerks
  • 4 days Savvy Investors Are Betting Big On This Little Data Company
  • 5 days How The Government Is Wasting Tax Money This Year
  • 5 days Supply Concerns Halt Expansion On Tianqi Lithium Plant
  • 5 days The World’s Biggest IPO Is Almost Here
  • 6 days The Relatively Of Money And Happiness
  • 6 days Wall Street Unfazed By Recession Fears
  • 6 days SoftBank Urges WeWork To Pause IPO Plans
  • 7 days Anti-Aging Market To Hit $55 Billion
Billionaires Are Pushing Art To New Limits

Billionaires Are Pushing Art To New Limits

Welcome to Art Basel: The…

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

13-14 Month Low

The 20th century market guru, George Lindsay, explained that, no matter how long a bear market lasts, there is usually an obvious low 13 to 14 months after the previous bull market high (in this case, May 2015). This 13-14 month low is important even though it may not be the low of the Basic Cycle. 13-14 months is the time span of a long Basic Decline.

"Not just any secondary top or bottom. But the secondary high or low, the one that fairly jumps out at you from a bar chart."

The duration of any rally after month 13/14 is variable; it can continue as long as five months. The duration of the rally is a relatively minor matter. The important part is this: Once the period of rallies ends and the market again turns down, the active part of the remaining decline has always been brief - not more than about three months at most. The decline to the Basic Cycle low has rarely lasted longer than 101 days.

Any remaining decline to a lower low, from the top of a bounce off of the 13/14 month low, has always been brief. A maximum decline of 101 days after the top of the bounce should be expected.

The above assumes higher highs are to come. However, if the Dow is engaged in a terminal decline (the final decline of the Long Cycle from point H or J to point M) then the 13-14mo low is followed by both a relief rally then another Basic Decline (~1 year) to lower lows. If the Dow breaks the February lows then it is a good bet that equities are in a Terminal Decline on their way to point M.

For now, it is enough to know that this 13-14 month low is due in either June or July this year.

A simplification of all long cycles since 1798

 


Get your copy of the June Lindsay Report at Seattle Technical Advisors.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment