• 1,049 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 1,050 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 1,051 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,451 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,456 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,458 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,461 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,461 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,462 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,464 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,464 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,468 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,468 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,469 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,471 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,472 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,475 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,476 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,476 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,478 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Forever 21 filed for Chapter…

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Stocks sold off last week…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Diving Into Deutsche Bank's 'Passion to Perform' Balance Sheet

Deutsche Bank shares have collapsed to lows deep under crisis lows and collapse of Lehman in the Great Financial Crisis. What's going on?

An investigation of Deutsche Bank's "Passion to Perform" balance sheet provides the clues.

Deutsche Bank Interim Report

The above clip from Deutsche Bank's First Quarter 2016 Statement.

Details in red from page 61 (PDF page 63) of the 126 page report.


Key Liabilities

  • €559 billion deposits
  • €562 billion negative derivatives
  • €151 billion long term debt


World's Most Systemically Dangerous Bank

Zero Hedge commented on the World's Most Systemically Dangerous Bank.

Here's the key chart.

Systemic Risk among GSIBs


Deutsche Bank Share Price

Deutsche Bank Monthly Chart 2001-2016


What Went Wrong?

Deutsche Bank's price to book value is 0.251.

Effectively the market suggests Deutsche Bank is worth 75% less than book value. Why?

  1. Is it derivatives?
  2. Are bank assets over-inflated?
  3. Other assets prices inflated?
  4. Liabilities understated?
  5. What about Brexit?

Brexit is the easiest explanation to throw out. Share prices started collapsing a second time starting at the beginning of 2014.

The bank has always been heavy in derivatives. Although recent activity may have led to losses or more scrutiny, it's relatively easily to discard that as the primary answer.


Banking Sector Malaise

Instead of pondering the obvious problems, what about other things?

  1. Targe2 imbalances starting to matter
  2. Italian banking woes starting to matter
  3. Rising chance that Eurosceptic leaders take control of Italy.
  4. What if Eurozone intrabank balances are in question?

My best guess is that Deutsche Bank share prices reflect all of the above but something in the second set of reasons, or something we still do not fully understand is the primary reason behind the collapse.


Related Articles

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment