• 519 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 519 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 521 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 920 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 925 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 927 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 930 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 931 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 931 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 933 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 933 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 937 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 938 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 938 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 941 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 941 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 944 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 945 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 945 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 947 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

An economic slowdown in many…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Diving Into Deutsche Bank's 'Passion to Perform' Balance Sheet

Deutsche Bank shares have collapsed to lows deep under crisis lows and collapse of Lehman in the Great Financial Crisis. What's going on?

An investigation of Deutsche Bank's "Passion to Perform" balance sheet provides the clues.

Deutsche Bank Interim Report

The above clip from Deutsche Bank's First Quarter 2016 Statement.

Details in red from page 61 (PDF page 63) of the 126 page report.


Key Liabilities

  • €559 billion deposits
  • €562 billion negative derivatives
  • €151 billion long term debt


World's Most Systemically Dangerous Bank

Zero Hedge commented on the World's Most Systemically Dangerous Bank.

Here's the key chart.

Systemic Risk among GSIBs


Deutsche Bank Share Price

Deutsche Bank Monthly Chart 2001-2016


What Went Wrong?

Deutsche Bank's price to book value is 0.251.

Effectively the market suggests Deutsche Bank is worth 75% less than book value. Why?

  1. Is it derivatives?
  2. Are bank assets over-inflated?
  3. Other assets prices inflated?
  4. Liabilities understated?
  5. What about Brexit?

Brexit is the easiest explanation to throw out. Share prices started collapsing a second time starting at the beginning of 2014.

The bank has always been heavy in derivatives. Although recent activity may have led to losses or more scrutiny, it's relatively easily to discard that as the primary answer.


Banking Sector Malaise

Instead of pondering the obvious problems, what about other things?

  1. Targe2 imbalances starting to matter
  2. Italian banking woes starting to matter
  3. Rising chance that Eurosceptic leaders take control of Italy.
  4. What if Eurozone intrabank balances are in question?

My best guess is that Deutsche Bank share prices reflect all of the above but something in the second set of reasons, or something we still do not fully understand is the primary reason behind the collapse.


Related Articles

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment