• 518 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 518 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 520 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 920 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 925 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 927 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 930 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 930 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 931 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 933 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 933 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 937 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 937 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 938 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 940 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 941 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 944 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 945 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 945 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 947 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

An economic slowdown in many…

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Gold and Gold Stocks Correction Continues

The failure of Gold and gold stocks to sustain recent gains coupled with a strong selloff to close the week dashes any hope that the correction ended last week. The charts and probabilities argue that the sector remains in a larger correction and perhaps has started the C portion of a typical A-B-C (down-up-down) correction.

This week started out strong for the miners but that strength faded and was completely reversed with Friday's selloff. GDX and GDXJ closed down 3%-4% for the week and left nasty bearish candles on the weekly charts. GDXJ, which made a low of $41 last week could test at least $39 while GDX, which tested a low of $25 last week has downside potential to $22.

VanEck Vectors Gold Miners and Junior Gold Miners Weekly Charts

Before I get to Gold, here is an important note on GDX. During bull market corrections, GDM, the parent index of GDX often found support at its 400-day exponential moving average. This happened seven times during 2002-2003, 2006 and 2009-2010. The 400-day exponential moving average for GDX is currently at $22 and rising slowly. Hence, I consider $22-$23 as a potential bottom for GDX.

Turning to Gold, we note that Gold failed at the $1355-$1360 resistance earlier in the week. That coupled with Friday's decline increases the odds that Gold will head lower to the bottom of its channel near $1300. Gold closed at $1334. It has support at $1300-$1310 and $1275-$1280.

Weekly Gold Chart

The negative reversal in miners and metals at the end of this week (and their failure to hold the rebound) signals that a larger and longer correction is playing out and more downside potential is directly ahead. GDX closed at $26.41. It has a very strong confluence of support around $22 which includes its 200-day moving average, its 400-day exponential moving average (noted above) and the 50% retracement of the entire rebound. Do not be surprised if this target is reached quickly, such as in days and not weeks. Remember that fishing line type declines (think of the trajectory of a fishing line) are a buying opportunity.

 


For professional guidance in riding the uptrend in Gold, consider learning more about our premium service including our favorite junior miners which we expect to outperform in the second half of 2016.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment