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Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat, based in Slovenia, has been in the forex markets since 2003. He is a technical analyst and individual trader who has worked for…

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Elliott Wave Analysis On VIX Index And The SP500

What is VIX Index? It's an important market that gives you an idea how much fear is involved during bear market period on stocks, which is in play for the last few weeks. Well, what is interesting to me is that this market is selling off ahead of important US elections, but events like this can be trend changers. In other words, they can cause some reversals. Simply put, investors will adjust their positions which may have an impact on price move. So if trend will change on stocks, then this will be from bearish to bullish side.

Those who follow me closely will know that I am tracking final stages of a corrective retracement on S&P500 from August highs. It's a three-wave decline at the moment, so technically I would be expecting a bounce towards the end of the year.

S&P500, Daily

S&P500 Daily Chart

And if I look at the VIX index, then we can also say that price is in final stages of a current corrective structure, thus it also suggests a turn down, ideally from around 22-25 area on a continuation contract. Pattern on VIX tells me that the next important leg will be lower which is obviously matching with our count on stocks. Also, lets also not forget to mention an important trendline resistance on VIX, connected from 2016 highs.

VIX, Daily

VIX Daily Chart

 


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