Crude oil has broken, as we expected, key support at 42.55 (20/09/2016 low) before bouncing back. The break of hourly support at 49.15 (10/10/2016 low) has signaled that deeper selling pressures were increasing. We maintain our bearish view towards 42.00.
In the long-term, crude oil is now recovering from its sharp decline and the signs of recovery are now strong. Strong support lies at 24.82 (13/11/2002) while strong resistance at 50.96 (09/10/2015 high) has been broken. Crude oil is holding way above its 200-Day Moving Average. Expected to reach 60 before year-end.