• 3 days Investors Are Patient With Unprofitable Giants
  • 5 days Wells Fargo Back In The Scandal Spotlight Once Again
  • 7 days 5 Stocks To Keep A Close Eye On This Year
  • 8 days As Auto Giants Flail, Look To Chip Stocks For Gains
  • 9 days Central America Is Ready For The Bitcoin Hustle
  • 11 days China’s Video Game Restrictions Unlikely To Slow Down Booming Industry
  • 12 days Top Performing Stocks As Inflation Fears Grow
  • 13 days US Airline Stocks Take A Beating On New EU Restrictions
  • 14 days This IPO Could Open Sustainable Fashion Floodgates
  • 15 days Crypto Crime Nets Another $2B Fraudster
  • 17 days This Week’s Hottest Meme Stocks
  • 18 days Why World Markets Should Be Watching Germany Closely
  • 20 days Could ‘Cultured’ Meat Rival The Plant-Based Megatrend?
  • 22 days ‘Easy Money’: Crypto Is Still Attracting Newbie Investors
  • 24 days Foreign Syndicates May Have Stolen Up To $400B In COVID Benefits
  • 25 days Gold Jumps Above $1800 Ahead Of Jackson Hole Summit
  • 25 days International Banks Blacklist Afghanistan Following Taliban Takeover
  • 27 days China’s Tycoons Are Getting A Serious Reality Check
  • 28 days U.S. Cannabis Space Heats Up With Telling Tilray Acquisition
  • 29 days Consumer Price Index Hits 13-Year-High
Brad Gudgeon

Brad Gudgeon

BluStar Market Timer Investment Philosophy: The stock market is currently in a technical Elliott Wave Bear Market Rally. It has been exhibiting A-B-C type waves…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Stock Market Top? Sucker's Play

The current rally from November 4 to December 12 (if indeed it was the top) was Minuette Wave Y of Minute Y. Minute Wave Y (of Minor Wave B) was a wxy inverted, irregular and strong bearish flat. Elliott called these B waves or irregular tops. The Trump rally is basically a "sucker's play". The internals of this rally are sick and very selective; the McClellan Summation Index is miles away from confirming it; the Dow Jones Industrials has far exceeded the SPX, which has far exceeded the NASDAQ creating a case of an inter-market bearish divergence. We also have a huge On-Balance-Volume divergence.

A move down into the mid 1900's SPX by February/March 2017 (as noted on the chart below) is my expectation. This would fit a Minor Wave B .618 retracement of Minor Wave A (January 19-July 14) fairly matching the November 2015 – January 2016 drop (due to the raising of rates).

I expect a down-up-down year for 2017, which should end Primary Wave 4. If Primary Wave 4 ends in late 2017 (like I'm thinking), then, the final top should occur somewhere around early 2019. The shallow decline of early November (which should have seen a deep 40 week low) followed by the strong Trump Rally, probably created a fortunate, unexpected delay in the finality of this upcoming, final fifth wave.

Millennial Wave (III?) "since c.a. 1000 C.E." Topping, early 2019?
Grand Super Cycle Wave (V) "since c.a. 1776"; Topping, early 2019?
Super Cycle Wave V "since 1942", Topping, early 2019?
Cycle Wave 5 "since March 2009", Topping, early 2019?
Primary Wave 4 "since late 2014", Rolling over into late 2017?
Intermediate Wave Y "since February 11, 2016", Topping August 2017?
Minor Wave B "since July 14, 2016", Rolling over into March 2017?
Minute Wave Y "since September 12, 2016", Topped December 12, 2016?
Minuette Wave Y "since November 4, 2016", Topped December 12, 2016?

S&P500 Daily Chart
Larger Image

It doesn't matter who is in power, the crash is coming! The above charts are perfect Elliott Wave counts. Are you ready?

 


Mention on which website you found this article, and you can sign up for any of our newsletters for 50% off the regular price. Contact us as we'll send you a special e-invoice. Good until December 17, 2016.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment