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Brad Gudgeon

Brad Gudgeon

BluStar Market Timer Investment Philosophy: The stock market is currently in a technical Elliott Wave Bear Market Rally. It has been exhibiting A-B-C type waves…

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Santa Claus to Extend Trump Rally?

In this article, I'm going to point to reasons why I believe this rally has some more juice left in it. I also want to warn that early next year, what I thought would happen in November 2016 should happen in March/April 2017, and that is a 14+% drop.

The Trump phenomenon seems to have caused the normal cycles to misbehave and extend. After further examination into Primary Wave 4, I have come to the conclusion that I need to revise the timing of the final Millennial Wave top out to a possible 3 years (that IF is Intermediate Wave Z of Primary Wave 4 extends out to the end of 2018 instead of year end 2017).

Normally, Wave Z of an XYZ bull flag, equals the approximate length of time of the same degree Wave X (with perhaps a little length added to it). If Wave Y ends on or near August 31, 2017 (as I have noted in the chart) then Wave Z (completing Primary Wave 4) may not terminate until the end of 2018, which would likely place Primary Wave 5's termination somewhere around late 2019 or early 2020. If this happens, the coming depression low I'm expecting (along with a myriad of others) may not occur until sometime in late 2022.

I hope an extension to Cycle Wave 5 into 2020 becomes the case. We drastically need to forewarn people of the coming financial reset, and get as many people "ready" as we can, so we can help mitigate the social impact this storm is obviously going to make.

Currently, there are about 3,000,000 or so prepper's in the United States of America. That is less than 1% of the population. Prepping can be good for a multitude of reasons including: storms, earthquakes, social unrest, terrorist attacks, wars, loss of jobs, Carrington Events (like 1859's mass coronal ejection) and economic collapses. When it is obvious that we are (soon, within the next 3 to 6 years) going to have a great financial reset, why do people ignore the obvious signs and not prepare for it? The lack of preparation puts a huge drain on society as a whole.

 While the government may be able to help somewhat, the situation is likely to get so out of hand that even they may find it hard pressed to do anything about it. For the most part you may find yourself alone. That is why it is so important to form local "help" communities and be ready for the inevitable.

Back to the markets: the astro cycles suggest a major turn in and around Dec 30. We have Mercury Retrograde on the 19th (a minor low for the stock market and gold with a midpoint turn due around year's end) and then a series of trines and sextiles all the way into 12/30 where the Sun sextiles Neptune (the day after Uranus turns Stationary Direct). Also Jupiter, Pluto and Uranus form a Cardinal T-Square around Christmas and again on February 22, 2017.

S&P500 Daily Chart
Larger Image

We went short GDX via DUST and Puts on FED day, and made some decent money last week. GDX should bottom on Monday along with the stock market. I would not be surprised to see the low 18.00 area tagged and then some attempt to rally.

Benner's Cycle can be off as much as 2 years. It is forecasting a top in 2018 and a low in 2021. Benner's last expected low was in 2011 and came 2 years early in 2009. I hope Benner's Cycle is off 2 years again so we can make some positive changes before the proverbial feces hits the rotating blades.

Happy Holidays!

 


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