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How Elliott Wave Predicted a 300 point DOW Rally in Two Days

DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS

Topping in wave (5)

30 min

Dow Jones Industrial Average 30-Minute Chart
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4 Hours

Dow Jones Industrial Average 4-Hour Chart
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Daily

Dow Jones Industrial Average Daily Chart
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My Bias: Long towards 20,500
Wave Structure: Impulsive 5 wave structure, possibly topping in an all time high.
Short term wave count: Upside from 17,066 wave 4 blue
Long term wave count: Topping in wave (5)
Important risk events: USD: Unemployment Claims, New Home Sales.

On Monday I published this bullish chart:

Dow Jones Industrial Average Bullish Chart
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This chart indicated the DOW price structure had traced out an impulsive rally and an Elliott wave bullish signal with five waves in the direction of the trend, and a three wave corrective decline, waves 'i' and 'ii' were complete at 19730 and I expected wave 'iii' to rally strongly for the rest of the week.

I wrote "Wave ii seems to be complete at todays low ,and wave 'iii' should begin from here. so the wave structure is setup for a rally this week."

Since that analysis was published on Monday the market has rallied 300 points to a new all time high and broken the illusive 20,000 level.

The larger wave count is suggesting a continued rally for the coming months in a structure called an ending diagonal. The market may be bullish right now, but the current Elliott wave count is calling this rally the end of a very large bull market run which began in march 2009.

The coming top will be one to remember for generations to come, but for now I will be tracking the rally every day as it continues in wave (5) to its inevitable end.

 

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