• 11 hours Why Chinese Rare Earth Prices Are Soaring
  • 1 day 2021 Could Be A Huge Year For Chinese Stocks
  • 2 days Shadowy Brokers Target Easy TikTok Money In New Scheme
  • 3 days Cannabis Sales Are Soaring In The United States
  • 4 days Biden Will Be A Boon For Solar Stocks
  • 5 days The Shroom Boom Is Here To Stay
  • 8 days The Gold Rally Has Finally Run Out Of Steam
  • 8 days Citibank Analyst Predicts $300k Bitcoin By End Of 2021
  • 11 days Bitcoin Lives Up To Its Safe Haven Status In A Big Way
  • 11 days 14 Million People Will Lose Unemployment Benefits On December 31st
  • 13 days Why 12 Million American Millionaires Isn’t Good News
  • 14 days Big Oil Is Paying The Price For Investing In Renewables
  • 15 days The Banking Industry’s $35 Billion Gravy Train Could Disappear
  • 16 days Did Amazon Just Democratize Prescription Drugs?
  • 18 days The Private Space Race Just Got Very Real
  • 19 days Short Sellers Are Willing Big In This Turbulent Market
  • 21 days SpaceX Gets Go-Ahead To Send Humans Into Space
  • 21 days Saudi Arabia Lost $27 Billion In Oil Crash
  • 22 days China’s Big Tech Takes A Hit As Regulators Crack Down
  • 23 days Black Friday Could Be Retailers’ Only Hope
What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

An economic slowdown in many…

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Is Tax "Reform" Good for the US Dollar?

Let's investigate what happened after the last 3 major tax reforms. Another "reform" is on deck.

I picked up this idea from Holger Zschaepitz, @Schuldensuehner, who made the following Tweet, posting a chart from Bloomberg.

 

In the following chart, I add a key piece of legislation that someone inadvertently overlooked.

Tax Reform vs US Dollar 1986-Present

https://s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/maven-user-photos/mishtalk/economics/zmfATcSa4EegwR7v_znq6Q/CbTSXb6lnUWRR85pNJkiTA

Key Dates

US Dollar Synopsis

  • Following the 1986 legislation, the dollar fell about 22% over the next six years.
  • Following the 2001 legislation and continuing with the 2003 legislation, the dollar fell about 37% over the next seven years.

What's Next?

The Senate version of the bill is likely to add over $1 trillion to the deficit, while not even cutting taxes beyond 2027.

A bill that adds so much to the deficit is not US dollar supportive, to say the least.

However, one cannot view these things in isolation. How the dollar reacts also depends on events in the Eurozone, China, and Japan, as well as Fed interest rate policy.

Global Currency Debasement

Global currency debasement is underway.

Things may be even crazier elsewhere, so a decline in the dollar is not guaranteed.

A Driver for Gold

Sooner or later, competitive currency debasement will matter.

Gold is likely to be the primary beneficiary.

I wish I could tell you when this matters in a major way.

Gold vs. Faith in Central Banks

https://s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/maven-user-photos/mishtalk/economics/zmfATcSa4EegwR7v_znq6Q/bRye9oCqlUmlyJOYb4VAAw

 

Amazing Non-Reform Act of 2017

I have a suggestion for the name of the pending legislation: The Amazing Non-Reform Tax Act of 2017.

By Mike Shedlock

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment