• 287 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 287 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 289 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 689 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 694 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 696 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 699 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 699 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 700 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 702 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 702 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 706 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 706 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 707 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 709 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 710 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 713 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 714 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 714 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 716 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

Trade In Counterfeit Goods Hits Half A Trillion Dollars

Trade In Counterfeit Goods Hits Half A Trillion Dollars

The counterfeit market has breached…

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Gold Bull Market Set to Resume

Gold has been in a corrective pattern since the May 2006 peak, attempting to build a base in anticipation of the resumption of the bull market. Now finally, Gold appears ready to resume the up trend with clear technical indicators signaling a breakout is imminent.

Gold About to break higher

Technical Analysis

  1. Price Patterns - The price pattern being played out by Gold since the May 06 highs is that of a symmetrical triangle, which usually breaks in favour of the preceding trend which in this case is higher.
  2. Resistance - The up channel line is containing the up trend.
  3. Support - Immediate support lies below the last low (2) at 600. Major support is at 560. Though 600 is expected to hold any immediate correction.
  4. MACD - (Bottom indicator) - The MACD is also in a symmetrical triangle, though in a neutral state, which suggests a break higher in gold could carry someway before the metal next reaches an overbought state.
  5. Elliott Waves - The basic elliott wave pattern suggests an ABC correction which bottomed in October 2006, and subsequent price action supports the start of a new leg higher for GOLD in the forms of Wave 1 UP, and the corrective Wave 2 down. So the elliott wave pattern supports other TA as it should be used as a secondary indicator rather a primary indicator of trend.
  6. % Levels - The symmetrical triangle pattern measures 190 points and therefore key %'s are : 50% = 635, Current resistance, 61.8% = 657. Peak of Wave 1. 100% = 730, May peak, 150% = 825, - 1st Target, 161.8% =847 - 2nd Target. 200% = 920 - 3rd Target.
  7. Up trend Line - .The key support trendline is along the A and C lows. The current correction as identified by wave 2 failed to get anywhere near this support trendline, which is a sign of strength
  8. Inter-market Analysis - What's not gone unnoticed is gold's relative strength in the face of breakdowns in other metals and commodities such as copper and crude oil. Thus suggests strong support for gold during the correction in anticipation of the resumption of the bull market.
  9. Time - Gold has now unwound its overbought state, having corrected for 7 months since the peak in May 07, which sets the scene for a substantial rally in terms of time and price.

Conclusion - Gold is looking very bullish as it is about to break out of the symmetrical triangle pattern, with other supporting analysis suggesting this to be imminent. The up trend is likely to carry gold beyond the previous high set in May 06, upwards and onwards towards to 847 and eventually to over 900, targeting 920 this year!

Buy Trigger - The two key buy triggers for Gold are 636 and 658. With gold at 636, it is on the verge of confirming a break of the first trigger. The best position would be a rolling spot contract. Or longer term investors can hold gold directly at bullionvault.com.
Target - A break above 658 would target 847.
Stop-Loss - A position at the current price of 636 would require a stop at 600. A break of 658 at 626.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment