• 826 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 826 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 828 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,228 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,233 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,235 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,238 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,238 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,239 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,240 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,241 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,245 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,245 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,246 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,248 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,249 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,252 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,253 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,253 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,255 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis and trading alerts on ETFs covering metals, energy, equity indices, currencies,…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Bulls Still in Control

If you like volatility, Monday was your kind of day! On the other hand, if you want some sense as to whether the bulls or the bears are in charge, a day like Monday will make you question if either has the upper hand.

Admittedly though, the fact that the equity indices gave up their morning upside reversal is disturbing, but not yet to the point of forcing me into neutrality (from my near term bullish posture).

MondayÕs intraday low of 149.02 in the S&P 500 Depository Receipts, or SPDRs (SPY), violated the prior low of 149.06 on June 7, which ordinarily would be bad action if the break triggered downside acceleration.

However, as of now the lack of downside follow-through after marginal new lows coupled with a higher daily momentum (RSI) reading on Monday (versus on June 7) suggests that the SPY is ending a correction rather than about to accelerate into a more substantial decline.

The BIG picture view of the SPY below is biased to the long side in sympathy with my interpretation of the overall technical picture, but knowing full well that the bulls are running out of time to complete the correction off of the June highs.

Another way to view the lack of downside acceleration is to examine the chart of the ProShares UltraShort QQQ ETF (QID). Right now that chart still shows a powerful downtrend (uptrend for the longs), dominated by a series of lower highs and lower lows.

Until that pattern is violated Ð upon a climb above the prior Òlower highÓ at 48.51 Ð the bear trend will remain very much intact. The QIDÕs must hurdle a 7-week resistance plateau at 48.60, as well as the prior high at 48.51. Otherwise, even though it may not feel like it at times (like right now), the bears remain in control of the QIDÕsÉand the bulls in control of the major equity markets.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment