Bob Loukas

Contributor since: 01 Oct 2012

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• Don't Trust Gold Here

  Published 04 November 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Just when the short-term prospects for Gold were looking good, precious metals reversed lower this past week. It could be that Gold was surprised by…

• A Golden Surprise

  Published 15 October 2015 | viewed 0 times

  The surprises are going to the upside for gold, and that is obviously a change in behavior. The miners are roaring higher and are outside…

• Gold Cycle Running Out of Steam

  Published 01 October 2015 | viewed 0 times

  I predicted that gold would rally last week up to the $1,155 area, and was also equally unsurprised when it was rejected the first time…

• Steps from a Deep October Market Selloff

  Published 22 September 2015 | viewed 0 times

  For some reason there was a late flurry of expectations that the FED was going to raise rates this past week. Many in the media…

• Sound the Alarm

  Published 24 August 2015 | viewed 0 times

  We saw an amazing capitulation event in equities these past three sessions. It's clear that market internals were weak, but no one could have foreseen…

• Just a Little Bit More

  Published 20 July 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Back in May, I sent followers of this public blog a Gold Cycle Update, outlining how gold had a 75% chance of failing to rally,…

• Crude Oil Nearing Exhaustion

  Published 26 June 2015 | viewed 0 times

  For an asset like Crude, which is normally extremely volatile, the current prolonged sideways range is very much out of character. Crude has us accustomed…

• Approaching An Endpoint

  Published 15 June 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Apart from two mini-peaks at recent Daily Cycle (DC) tops, Gold's current Investor Cycle has traded in a narrow, horizontal range. The Investor Cycle (IC)…

• You Don't Know Where the Market is Heading!

  Published 02 June 2015 | viewed 0 times

  I've been of two minds recently regarding the current Cycle picture in equities. So this week I focused more attention on finding secondary evidence to…

• Some Breathing Room

  Published 18 May 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Now that Gold has pushed to a three month high, it's clear that my bullish read of the Gold tape is at least partially correct.…

• Crude Bull Market Hope

  Published 20 April 2015 | viewed 0 times

  I believe that energy analysts are absolutely delusional to think Crude production will slow significantly, especially with Oil back near the $60 mark. During the…

• A Gold Trading Idea

  Published 19 March 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Yesterday's FOMC was bullish for most assets, as the FED indicated it was not ready to beginning raising rates. The FED's ZIRP policy, designed primarily…

• Gold Just Needs More Time

  Published 23 February 2015 | viewed 0 times

  The Gold market appears to be in reverse gear at present. It's at fresh 6 week lows with a 2nd Daily Cycle that continues to…

• Crude's Capitulation Phase

  Published 09 February 2015 | viewed 0 times

  After a long and relentless decline, the Crude market has finally enabled us to anchor its Cycles. Up until 2 weeks ago, Crude was locked…

• Precarious Times for Equity Markets

  Published 02 February 2015 | viewed 0 times

  It suddenly seems as though the good times in equities might be ending. Though my perspective is based only on "gut feel", there seems to…

• Test of Strength

  Published 27 January 2015 | viewed 0 times

  An update to the Jan 15th post A Cycle Test for Equity Markets   Until the ECB announcement of €1 trillion in QE, the equity…

• An Epic Blowout

  Published 15 December 2014 | viewed 0 times

  The FED's easy money has encouraged rampant energy speculation and over-investment, resulting in more than $500 billion in new loans and investments in just the…

• Reminiscent of Pompeii

  Published 24 November 2014 | viewed 0 times

  We're at the point in the equity bull market Cycle that every piece of news is construed as positive for the equity markets. In many…

• Has the Trap Been Set?

  Published 17 November 2014 | viewed 0 times

  We finally have some movement within the gold complex, and for a welcomed change, it's to the upside. It has been dicey lately, as the…

• Crude Oil is Hitting Bottom

  Published 22 October 2014 | viewed 0 times

  In the past, we've discussed at length the structural problems facing Crude. So the pressure the energy markets are under, both from the demand and…