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Prieur du Plessis

Prieur du Plessis

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010


With 25 years' experience in investment research and portfolio management, Dr Prieur du Plessis is one of the most experienced and well-known investment professionals in South Africa. More than 1 000 of his articles on investment-related topics have been published in various regular newspaper, journal and Internet columns. He also published a book, Financial Basics: Investment, in 2002.

  • Stocks Markets Anticipating Better Economic Growth

    Published 14 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

    Further to my post of yesterday, "Stocks: anticipator of economic health", where my conclusion was that the stock market is an excellent anticipator of underlying…

  • Stocks: Anticipator of Economic Health?

    Published 13 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

    Stock markets are again heading north while market commentators question the health of the world economy and especially the situation in the U.S. But who…

  • Richard Russell: 'Stocks are not priced to produce profits over coming years'

    Published 10 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

    In a recent article, Richard Russell, 86-year-old writer of the Dow Theory Letters, focused on dividend yield as a valuation yardstick. I thought it appropriate…

  • Trade of 2010 - Long Silver, Short Treasuries

    Published 09 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

    I noted the following on January 10 in a Words from the Wise review: "Will we perhaps look back at these assets [referring to bonds…

  • Bullish Sentiment Raises Risk Level

    Published 08 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

    The latest Advisors Sentiment report from Investors Intelligence shows the bulls have edged up to 56.2% from 55.4% a week ago and 29.4% at the…

  • Manufacturing PMIs

    Published 06 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

    I remarked in a post on Friday that the November manufacturing PMIs came in much stronger than the market and I expected. Only Spain, Italy…

  • Scary Picture: Spiraling U.S. Debt

    Published 03 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

    The graph below, courtesy of Citywire, shows the expected change in government debt in 2011 versus the current debt for a number of countries. As…

  • Stock Market Seasonality Points To A Good December

    Published 02 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

    The first trading day of December was off to a running start, with global stock markets gaining strongly yesterday on positive developments in Europe and…

  • China Manufacturing PMI: Somewhat Stronger Than Anticipated

    Published 01 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

    The CFLP China Manufacturing PMI for November rose for the fourth consecutive month, to 55.2 compared to October's 54.7. Sources: Li & Fung; Plexus Asset…

  • Stock Markets - Mean Reversion Continues

    Published 30 November 2010 | viewed 0 times

    I have argued on a number of occasions recently that I thought stock markets were in a corrective phase, expecting the process to continue to…

  • SP 500: Caveat Emptor!

    Published 25 November 2010 | viewed 0 times

    The S&P 500 Index is entering expensive territory with the cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio at 22.64 approaching the average of 25.0 from the post ICT…

  • Moving Averages Flirting With Key Levels

    Published 24 November 2010 | viewed 0 times

    I yesterday summarized my market view in a post entitled "Commodity prices - on a knife's edge". For some additional perspective, I consider the key…

  • Commodity Prices - On a Knife's Edge

    Published 23 November 2010 | viewed 0 times

    The prices of industrial metals find themselves at crucial levels as indicated by the Economist Metals Price Index in U.S. dollar - the latest number…

  • Emerging Markets Showing Mature Markets a Clean Pair of Heels

    Published 19 July 2010 | viewed 0 times

    I posted a table yesterday showing the public-debt situation of emerging vs mature countries. "The contrast is staggering ... This trend [of escalating debt in…

  • Chinese Stocks - Canary in the Coalmine?

    Published 03 May 2010 | viewed 0 times

    In another move by the Chinese authorities to rein in its booming economy, China's central bank yesterday announced the third increase this year in the…

  • I Have Just Hedged My Equities By Going Long Volatility

    Published 25 April 2010 | viewed 0 times

    I have often in the past referred to the CBOE Volatility (VIX) Index, also known as Wall Street's "fear index". This is a measure of…

  • Key Reversals on Stock Markets Point to Pullback

    Published 18 April 2010 | viewed 0 times

    Stock markets on Friday plunged from their 19-month peaks on the back of the SEC charging Goldman Sachs with fraud related to subprime-related products. Although…

  • Put Gold Miners on Your Radar Screen

    Published 14 April 2010 | viewed 0 times

    Ever since I started my investment career as a mining analyst in 1984, I have taken a keen interest in gold stocks. In particular, I…

  • The Gold Bulls Are Right - US Inflation is On the Up

    Published 09 April 2010 | viewed 673 times

    Is the rising gold price conveying a particular message about higher inflation ahead? Glancing over a number of economic charts (while I am waiting for…

  • US Bonds - The End of a 30-Year Bull Market

    Published 04 April 2010 | viewed 1,222 times

    The US jobless report on Friday sparked a jump in Treasury bond yields, sending the yield on 10-year Notes to 3.95% - the highest level…