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Markets / Other

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Theory of Interest and Prices in Paper Currency Part VI (The End)

Sep 19, 2013 at 20:23

For years, I have been thinking that this is a perfect analogy to the falling rate of interest. At zero interest on long-term debt, the net present value is infinite.…

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GOLD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis

Sep 19, 2013 at 20:11

Movement above 1,374.17 invalidated the main wave count and confirmed the alternate. Yesterday I judged the two wave counts to have a close to even probability. It is time to…

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Charting the Big Picture

Sep 19, 2013 at 20:09

Despite the proven ability of powerful institutions such as the Federal Reserve to dramatically manipulate and distort nearly every facet of the financial sphere, in the first of a possible…

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The Morning After; Price Discovery is Zero; PUT on the Bond Market? Is Inflation Really Under 2%?

Sep 19, 2013 at 13:11

Steen Jakobsen, Chief economist at Saxo Bank in Denmark, pinged me today with his thoughts on "the morning after" and "price discovery".

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Gold Market Update

Sep 19, 2013 at 12:02

That was a huge announcement by the Fed yesterday (18th) to keep monetary policy the same and the effect on the markets was immediate and dramatic. To say that this…

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Silver Market Update

Sep 19, 2013 at 11:58

Much of what is written in the parallel Gold Market update applies equally to silver and that will not be repeated here. Silver's major reversal pattern, which, like gold's, is…

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Magazine Cover Indicator Rears Its Head

Sep 19, 2013 at 10:30

Contrarians take note: The latest issue of Time magazine featured another one of those infamous bull market covers. The bull was displayed rather prominently on the cover under the headline,…

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That Big Expanding Triangle!

Sep 19, 2013 at 09:44

As was expected, at least in this corner, the Fed has decided not to “taper” its bond-buying program known as QE3 of $85 billion a month. The reasoning here was…

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The Smell of Collapse is in the Air

Sep 19, 2013 at 08:01

The U.S. stock market is near all-time highs, while politicians and economists are blathering about recovery, low inflation, and good times, but instability and danger are clearly visible in our…

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Evidence Said Be Bullish Before Fed - Still Does

Sep 19, 2013 at 07:42

Our market model uses numerous risk-on vs. risk-off ratios to monitor the market's risk tolerance. Markets are the mechanism that sets asset prices. It is prudent to monitor the mechanism…

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