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Markets / Other

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Technical Market Report for December 24, 2016

Dec 24, 2016 at 10:50

Seasonality is really the only story. For the next week the market should drift upward on low volume. I expect the major averages to be higher on Friday December 30…

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This Past Week in Gold

Dec 24, 2016 at 10:48

Summary: Long term – on major buy signal. Short term – on sell signals. Gold sector cycle is down. Trend is down. Correction continues.

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A (Very) Long History of Real Interest Rates

Dec 23, 2016 at 14:30

One of the problems that inflation folks have is that the historical data series for many of the assets we use in our craft are fairly short, low-quality, or difficult…

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The U.S. Dollar is Destined to Move Higher

Dec 23, 2016 at 11:42

As counter-intuitive as it may seem to many, I believe the world-wide desirability to own the much, maligned U.S. Dollar is destined to rise. To my mind, the recent upside…

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Donald's Trump Card

Dec 23, 2016 at 11:23

How did Donald Trump get elected? Can we pigeon hole Trump's ideology? Very few people expected Donald Trump to win the Republican nomination. But Trump received more TV coverage than…

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Irrational Exuberance in US Stock Market Grasps at 20K for Dow

Dec 23, 2016 at 09:48

Since Trump's election, the US stock market has climbed unstoppably along a remarkably steep path to round off at a teetering height. Is this the irrational exuberance that typically marks…

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Dollar Euphoria and Gold

Dec 23, 2016 at 09:15

The US dollar has rocketed higher since early November's US presidential election, rivaling the massive gains seen in the stock markets. With the world's reserve currency catapulted to extreme secular…

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A Broken Bond Bounce Beckons!

Dec 23, 2016 at 08:55

U.S. Economic Confidence has now surged to the highest level that Gallup has ever recorded. Additionally, the degree of Investor euphoria that has occurred since Trump was elected is something…

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Will Trump End the Fed?

Dec 23, 2016 at 08:52

The bottom line is that the Trump's presidency may significantly affect the Fed's functioning and, thus, the gold market. The president will fill two vacancies in the Board of Governors…

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Feds Stance on Rate Hikes Equates to Nonsense and Masses are Turning Bullish on Stocks

Dec 23, 2016 at 07:50

The illusion that the economy is doing well is supported because of the vibrant stock market. The stock market appears healthy because hot money is driving it. If the supply…

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