"No warning can save people determined to grow suddenly rich" - Lord Overstone
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Gold •583 days | 2,368.70 | +35.30 | +1.51% |
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Platinum •15 mins | 2,099.40 | +28.80 | +1.39% |
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WTI Crude •8 hours | 63.55 | +0.26 | +0.41% |
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Gasoline •8 hours | 1.953 | +0.027 | +1.38% |
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Ethanol •583 days | 2.161 | +0.000 | +0.00% |
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Silver •583 days | 30.82 | +1.16 | +3.92% |
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Silver • 583 days | 30.82 | +1.16 | +3.92% | |
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Copper • 583 days | 4.530 | +0.111 | +2.51% | |
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Brent Crude • 7 hours | 68.05 | +0.50 | +0.74% | |
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Natural Gas • 8 hours | 3.422 | -0.087 | -2.48% | |
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Heating Oil • 8 hours | 2.413 | +0.020 | +0.84% |
Markets / Other
Dollar/Yen = Dollar/Gold
It is funny about markets and human nature. It never fails; that what goes up must come down (though not necessarily vice versa). Yet, if this market fact is readily…
Operation SafeHaven
"Gold 2000 in the year 2000?" What a beauty. Remember that one? I was (shamefully) thinking about burying that call, which was made in one of my more enthusiastic modes…
The Stress Test
The game is afoot! Of course, it is not really a game; it is your life, and your life savings that are about to become annihilated through a desperate push…
Bad Times, Good Money
"For the first time since WWII, the world is in the grips of a synchronized global economic downturn," writes Dr. Kurt Richebacher. "We are looking for financial turmoil in the…
A Forecasting Model That Integrates Multiple Business and Stock-Market Cycles
Since there is an obvious interrelationship between short-term business cycles and short-term stock-market cycles, it is useful to discover their common elements in order to develop a theory that explains…
The Perils Of Success
Last month, Alan Greenspan spoke to the N.Y. Economic Club and sounded, for a while, like his old self. "Although the gold standard could hardly be portrayed as having produced…
Generations and Business Cycles - Part I
The Kondratiev cycle is a 50-60 year cycle in prices, interest rates and other economic variables. It was noted as early as 1847 in an article in the British Railway…
How Low Can We Go? What Several Valuation Methods Have To Say
This post examines three S&P500 valuation methods for what they have to say about the progress of the current secular bear market. The first method that used by Robert Shiller…
Progress Update on the Current Secular Bear Market
A caveat to this analysis should be noted. Whereas the drop in P/R of 40% is consistent with the three previous non-Depression secular bear markets (average 38% drop) the absolute…
Use of Secular Trend Concept for Asset Allocation in 401K, Part 3
Since my last update in April my company's 401K has dropped TWCUX as a fund option and I have been forced to move my assets into an S&P500 index fund.…
