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Markets

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Is This It? Or Can They Fool Us Again?

Aug 09, 2011 at 06:29

A stressful weekend for the world's bankers and politicians, followed by a sleepless Monday, and all with a single question rattling around in their heads: How can we fool them…

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Global Equities Bear Market Has Us In a Hug

Aug 09, 2011 at 06:21

Most of us are too old to cry, but it also hurts too much to laugh. The global equities are in a bear market. The conventional definition of a bear…

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Does the Fed Simply Follow the Market?

Aug 09, 2011 at 06:14

If you look at a multi-decade chart comparing the yield on a 3-month Treasury Bill with either the Fed Funds Rate (FFR) or the Discount Rate, you will see that…

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It Won't Go Down Forever

Aug 09, 2011 at 06:01

The worst possible thing that could happen to the stock market right now is a rapid bounce. A strong bounce would show that investors still don't "get it" and are…

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The Elusive Abyss

Aug 09, 2011 at 05:49

The actual leap or fall into that abyss will eventually happen when the debt maturity profiles in the bond markets converge and coincide with a total loss of confidence. To…

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An Acceleration in Gold has Begun

Aug 08, 2011 at 20:08

In recent months we've been talking and writing about a potential acceleration in Gold. The chart said we were close and in all honesty Gold has actually been in a…

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Where Is This Market Headed?

Aug 08, 2011 at 20:06

Markets at major inflection points are more a function of investor psychology and less technicals and or macro data. The struggle between bull and bear, greed and fear will always…

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What is Next for the SP 500

Aug 08, 2011 at 20:05

Three weeks ago I began urging members of my service to reduce risk and raise cash. I pounded the table incessantly for the past two weeks to continue to raise…

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Reality Finally Hits Morbidly Obese US Government

Aug 08, 2011 at 20:03

You know when someone is really fat but no one in their family has said anything and they've lived for years without even realizing it? And this state of non-reality…

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Butt Ugly Close; Futures Selloff Continues After Equity Close

Aug 08, 2011 at 15:13

Mercy! What a close! However, being the ever-optimist, I prefer to look at the bright side of things. Get your party hats ready. Another DOW 10,000 party may be on…