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Markets

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The Pricing Mechanism of Markets: SP500 1344.07 and US 30-Year $117.09

Feb 25, 2011 at 19:58

Evidence is mounting that the pricing mechanism of global markets creates spontaneous order out of the chaos of billions of people pursuing their self-interested purpose. Arriving at a price for…

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(Increasingly Unwieldy) Monetary Disorder

Feb 25, 2011 at 19:14

The current backdrop creates extraordinary uncertainty. From an analytical perspective, things can go in many different directions from here. There is no alternative than following developments diligently, keeping an open…

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Uncertainty in the Arab Street and Rising Food Costs

Feb 25, 2011 at 17:13

Events in Arabia have been sending flutters through the market. Egypt, by far the largest Arab state, has shifted into a virtuous economic growth cycle confirming it as an important…

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The SPX, Oil, Silver, and Geopolitical Risk

Feb 25, 2011 at 13:50

While this week was shortened due to the President's Day holiday, it has been quite a ride for traders and investors. The 24 hour news cycle certainly intensifies current market…

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2011 Tipping Points

Feb 25, 2011 at 14:19

Throughout my 2010 article series "Extend & Pretend" and "Sultans of Swap" I stressed that we were rapidly moving from the Financial Crisis of 2008, through the Economic Fallout of…

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The Technical Take: TLT

Feb 25, 2011 at 11:49

It is my belief that we have seen the high in long term Treasury yields at least for a while, and I expressed this opinion in yesterday's article on Treasury…

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Long-Term Trend is Still Upbeat Despite Declines in Precious Metals

Feb 25, 2011 at 10:35

Economic and social developments across the globe are significantly affecting the capital market moves in the present scenario. Global markets, still fragile, could be tilted off course if instability in…

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Junior Correction

Feb 25, 2011 at 09:09

Junior resource stocks are fickle little things. And most investors who dabble in this realm are fully aware of their capricious nature. One of the best ways to describe owning…

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Fear Levels and the VIX ...

Feb 25, 2011 at 09:02

The VIX (Volatility Index) spiked up when the Libyan revolt started to unfold. Today, there is talk of a possible Libyan massacre today which would be a real negative should…

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Gold Forecaster - Why is the Dollar Falling in Gold and Currency Terms?

Feb 25, 2011 at 07:46

In the last few days a fairly new market perception has been creeping in. The expectation that Eurozone interest rates are going to start rising ahead of U.S. interest rates…