Markets

Jun 26, 2010 at 12:36

We discovered a new leading indicator to forecast U.S. Real GDP Y/Y and it is simply the U.S. Terms of Trade (TOT). It is defined as the export price /…

Jun 26, 2010 at 11:42

Ever since the rally out of the March 2009 low began, I have maintained that it has been a bear market rally. All the while, the politicians think that their…

Jun 26, 2010 at 11:22

The market went from overbought to oversold last week. Seasonally the last 3 days of June are strong while the first 2 days of July are weak so we should…

Jun 26, 2010 at 08:07

The story below provides yet another strong indication of why the markets are behaving strangely. Perhaps this partially accounts for the fact that the Dow has put in 37 new…

Jun 26, 2010 at 07:44

I am on record as saying I think there is a 50-50 chance we slip back into recession in 2011, as I think the economy will soften in the latter…

Jun 26, 2010 at 07:32

When doing a technical analysis, one will often compare indicators such as Relative Strength when trying to determine which index is stronger.

Jun 25, 2010 at 19:36

Prior to Greece, the markets perceived rapid government debt growth was a stabilizing force. More recently, the marketplace is coming to appreciate that runaway fiscal deficits are destabilizing and problematic.

Jun 25, 2010 at 16:45

With oil gushing into the Gulf, the global economy under pressure as well as the prices of energy and energy stocks, and with the new American Power Act lurking in…

Jun 25, 2010 at 16:10

So far this year, the US dollar has enjoyed a strong performance. Traders carefully watch this flagship currency since its fortunes affect virtually everything, from world-trade balances to global financial…

Jun 25, 2010 at 14:20

In our most recent essay we have emphasized what influence might the general stock market have on the prices of the precious metals. Since the situation appears to be developing…