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Markets

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The Truth Behind The Recent Unrest in Kyrgyzstan

Apr 13, 2010 at 18:52

The extraordinary events of last week in Kyrgyzstan, which saw the overthrow of President Kurmanbek Bakiyev's administration by a popular uprising and its replacement by a provisional government have been…

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Pivotal Events

Apr 13, 2010 at 15:41

Many understand that a constitution provides law and order as well as defense. The other and essential characteristic has been to limit the ambition of government and parts of the…

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Why Economic Forecasts Often Fail

Apr 13, 2010 at 15:08

Let's begin with a paradox: The one constant in our society is dramatic change. This is the main reason why projecting present conditions into the future often fails.

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Small Business Optimism "Very Low and Headed in the Wrong Direction"

Apr 13, 2010 at 14:50

If the US economy was about to reach "escape velocity" as Larry Summers says, small business optimism would not be in the gutter and sinking. Thus, proof that Larry Summers…

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Going Nuclear: Obama's Green Machine Is Ready to Go

Apr 13, 2010 at 14:40

Over the Easter weekend, seven nuclear reactors throughout the United States stopped operations, and natural gas prices skyrocketed by over 20%. And this was when most of the country was…

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The Federal Deficit Reduction - Growth Helps at the Margin

Apr 13, 2010 at 13:29

The experts - no, not Alan Greenspan and Robert Rubin, but the CBO - tell us that we cannot grow our way out of the long-term federal budget deficit, but…

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Catatonic Oil Consumption

Apr 13, 2010 at 11:49

... Saudi Arabia, the major oil exporter, "exported more oil to China than to the United States last year" which is kind of surprising but not too alarming if you…

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What I Am Watching (Part 1): TBT and TLT

Apr 13, 2010 at 11:42

Before getting to the technicals on Treasury bonds, let me state why I am interested in and why I write so much about Treasury bonds. In one word, it is…

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A Big Institutional Test Now?

Apr 13, 2010 at 07:35

When the "core holdings" held by Institutional Investors are expressed as an index, it shows a very accurate picture of what the market "really" looks like.

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Long-term Bearish on China

Apr 12, 2010 at 20:08

Excluding the people who labour under the delusion that the US is still the "land of the free" and China is still a Soviet-style basket case, most people fall into…