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Markets

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Bank Reserves and Inflation

Nov 03, 2009 at 00:00

Bank lending in the US has declined on a year-over-year basis, so we know that the spectacular increase in reserves has not YET contributed to monetary inflation. Many analysts and…

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I Thought I Wanted An ETF?

Nov 02, 2009 at 00:00

It's official. One of Canada's largest mutual fund families has finally taken a public swipe at ETFs. In a recent article entitled "I thought I wanted an ETF", Mackenzie Investments…

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Agri-Food Thoughts

Nov 02, 2009 at 00:00

The brilliance of the advice to China by Western experts can be seen in the red line in the chart below which represents the performance of the SP 500. Does…

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Pivotal Events

Nov 02, 2009 at 00:00

The post-crash rebound bubble could run for around six months and an important change in the credit markets would signal the end of the party. The short-end changed first when…

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The Super-Rich Are Spooked

Nov 02, 2009 at 00:00

A couple of seemingly unrelated articles in Friday's Wall Street Journal illustrate how life is getting more complicated for the super-rich. First, it seems that the UBS debacle was not…

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Long Term Equity Valuation: Replacing the P/E for the DR3

Nov 02, 2009 at 00:00

When investors are greedy and require too much real return on equity (more than ten percent), this signals markets are overvalued. It does not mean the markets will collapse right…

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Gold and Silver: Where Do We Go From Here?

Nov 02, 2009 at 00:00

Asset markets, whether it is stocks, commodities or precious metals have been dominated recently by their inverse relationship with the US dollar. A recent rally by the dollar has allowed…

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Government Statistics and Lies

Nov 02, 2009 at 00:00

There has been a lot of talk in Washington recently about senior citizens, mostly about how various healthcare reform models would help or hurt them. But there is another critical…

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Postponing Providence

Nov 02, 2009 at 00:00

That's the game - postponing providence - putting off the inevitable until the next guy's shift. This is the cache of our political economy, as with all other comparables before…

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Passed the Test

Nov 02, 2009 at 00:00

Gold survived the first test of the $1,030 level and celebrations will be heard from gold bull camps everywhere. Gold bounced up with vigor from this newly formed, and not…