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Markets

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Beware of Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs) Bearing Gold

May 20, 2009 at 00:00

Gold is unique among asset classes as it is the only asset class not dependent on the performance of auditors, management, corporations, financial institutions, banks, politicians and governments. Nor should…

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Bullish Conditions Won't Go Away Overnight

May 20, 2009 at 00:00

Treasuries are trading mixed this morning. There is slight pressure on the June Bonds while June Notes are flat. Growing confidence in the global economy is encouraging investors to forego…

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Keeping An Eye On The Insiders

May 20, 2009 at 00:00

For many investors the idea of studying the fundamentals of a company, i.e., the balance sheet, profit and loss statements and the company's business model, is quite overwhelming. Most do…

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The Re-Release of the Open Source Mortgage Default Model

May 20, 2009 at 00:00

Although reset date is an important aspect to predict default rates for Alt-A ARMs there are additional factors including current LTV, borrowers paying capacity, % change in property prices, unemployment…

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Delusions of Endless Credit

May 19, 2009 at 00:00

But with the staggering avalanche of money being poured into the world's economies by central banks and deficit-spending governments, a Something Very Bad (SVB) event is going to happen to…

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Are We Back from the 'Fiscal Abyss' as Dallas Fed Claims?

May 19, 2009 at 00:00

I have been reviewing the advice offered by the eminent economists and analysts as outlined in my 4-part series of articles entitled "Warning! Fiscal Hurricane Approaching! Is Your Portfolio Secure?"…

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Barron's Weighs In On Treasury Yields (Again!)

May 19, 2009 at 00:00

This is the second cover story in 5 months for Barron's on the bursting of the bubble in Treasury yields. I have been closely following the yield on the 10…

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Who Will TARP America?

May 19, 2009 at 00:00

The Social Security trust fund will run out of assets four years earlier than previously forecast. It should be noted at this time that the continued belief in the existence…

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Effect of Household Deleveraging on Housing, Consumption and the Stock Market

May 19, 2009 at 00:00

Going forward, downward pressure on debt is likely to come from both lenders and households. On the supply side, tighter lending standards will require more income, collateral, and documentation for…

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Great Depressions Are So Methodical

May 19, 2009 at 00:00

One of the features of a great boom is the excitement of shared convictions about eternal prosperity. One of the features of the consequent contraction is bewilderment about how suddenly…