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Markets

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On Transparency of the Fed

Feb 23, 2009 at 00:00

This week the Federal Reserve responded to the American people's increased concerns over our monetary policy by presenting new initiatives aimed at enhancing the Fed's transparency and accountability. As someone…

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Theres only One Cure for a Depression

Feb 23, 2009 at 00:00

In contrast with a depression, a recession is relatively easy to bring to an end. The genesis of a recession is caused by excessive credit creation on the part of…

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Investor Sentiment: Same Story, Different Week

Feb 23, 2009 at 00:00

For the 12th week in a row the "dumb money" indicator remains neutral on the markets, and the "smart money" indicator has had one moderately bullish reading over the past…

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On Nationalizing the Banks

Feb 22, 2009 at 00:00

Clearly the market is worried that the subordinated debt of weaker institutions may be repudiated in bank nationalization. On Wednesday 5-year protection on Citicorp's subordinated debt jumped to LIBOR plus…

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Dark Clouds Gather as Obama Spooks the Markets

Feb 22, 2009 at 00:00

It is self-evidently true that markets drop during recessions just as production does. But there is something else going on here. The straightforward link between recession and declining markets is…

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Citigroup Begs To Be 40% Nationalized

Feb 22, 2009 at 00:00

Citigroup is in deep trouble. Its share price is $1.95 and the market is recognizing what I said a year ago: "Citigroup Is Insolvent". Of course it is not just…

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Update of the SP 500 Index and the US Dollar Index

Feb 22, 2009 at 00:00

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 Index swooped below 805 like a hot knife through butter, but a lack of follow through yesterday suggests the alternate count for the S&P 500…

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Turning Points

Feb 22, 2009 at 00:00

There is some ambiguity concerning whether or not a short-term low was made last Friday, or if it will come early this week ... Signs are growing that we are…

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Gold Double Top?

Feb 22, 2009 at 00:00

The main question for precious metals investors this week is whether gold is about to form a massive double top. If we pull up the gold chart we have shown…

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The Grand Experiment and the Catastrophic Flaw

Feb 22, 2009 at 00:00

President Obama and Co need to engender a credible expectation that a deflationary depression can be avoided. This is no easy task and it requires careful planning and almost perfect…